NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	126		Excitement	6.8 [471]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +42.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	137		Comeback	1.3 [926]		LVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): -6.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.20	0.04	0.01	14	78%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Obi Toppin	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.02	7	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	7	69%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	17	58%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Bruce Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.08	-0.05	0.09	14	57%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.35	0.16	0.08	32	75%	0.45	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	5	90%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	7	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	20	45%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.06	0.05	26	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	14	86%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	29.0	14.5	25.4	2.5	26.5	125.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +14.2%

IND -4.2%

PHI +42.4%

IND -4.1%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	13.3	15.5	14.5	126.0	137.0	113.9
season	13.8	14.9		120.0	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.7		112.6	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	13.8	12.6	13.4	13.3
PHI	13.1	16.2	15.7	17.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	32	33	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-21	31	12.8	13.6	-0.82	17.2	14.6	2.57
Tyrese Haliburton	76	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-15	19	12.9	14.8	-1.96	16.3	12.9	3.35
Buddy Hield	42	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-10	9	12.6	13.9	-1.24	15.8	15.2	0.60
Aaron Nesmith	49	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.26	2	-13	15	12.2	14.4	-2.15	17.7	13.1	4.61
Jalen Smith	39	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	14.1	12.9	1.21	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Myles Turner	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	12.9	14.1	-1.21	15.8	14.9	0.91
Bruce Brown	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	13.2	13.6	-0.44	15.4	15.5	-0.06
Obi Toppin	49	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	3	-17	14.0	12.7	1.21	13.3	17.4	-4.04
Andrew Nembhard	30	29	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	4	-19	15.0	12.6	2.42	13.7	16.2	-2.44
Bennedict Mathurin	57	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.12	-24	13	-37	14.5	11.8	2.72	13.7	17.6	-3.85

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	83	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-6	23	15.2	16.9	-1.78	13.5	12.6	0.83
Paul Reed	30	30	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-1	13	15.9	15.3	0.58	15.5	12.4	3.13
Danuel House Jr.	31	34	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-4	19	14.5	15.9	-1.41	14.9	12.5	2.43
Tobias Harris	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-1	13	14.8	17.9	-3.08	13.3	13.5	-0.26
Patrick Beverley	33	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	8	-5	16.8	14.8	2.07	13.9	13.1	0.80
Nicolas Batum	70	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	10	-9	16.1	13.9	2.23	12.7	14.6	-1.93
De'Anthony Melton	65	63	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	12	-13	15.4	15.6	-0.22	12.7	14.5	-1.82
Robert Covington	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	12	-13	16.0	15.2	0.78	14.1	13.0	1.14
Joel Embiid	70	70	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	12	-13	15.3	15.9	-0.58	12.4	15.5	-3.13
Furkan Korkmaz	9	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	13	-15	15.9	15.4	0.47	11.6	13.6	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1	93.3%
ATL 86, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	93.0%
CLE 95, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.78,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,1	93.0%