NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	6.2 [547]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +17.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.1 [1087]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -19.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	10	58%	-0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	12	48%	0.01	5	-0.15	3	33%	-0.04
Theo Ratliff	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	64%	0.01	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.06
Glenn Robinson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	23	48%	-0.08	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	10	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.01	18	59%	0.09	3	-0.15	5	80%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	10	60%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	14	37%	-0.05	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.3	26.7	15.0	23.2	1.6	37.0	127.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +8.3%

POR +17.7%

POR +15.1%

POR +8.3%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	14.6	17.7	15.5	96.6	100.0	101.6
season	15.1	16.0		99.5	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.8	13.7	14.9	14.0	14.6
POR	14.2	20.6	18.5	18.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-3	3	14.5	14.6	-0.15	20.0	17.4	2.59
Alan Henderson	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-4	5	14.3	14.8	-0.49	18.5	17.4	1.10
Ira Newble	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	14.5	14.7	-0.25	17.3	18.0	-0.63
Dan Dickau	13	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-1	-1	14.1	14.7	-0.65	21.5	17.2	4.35
Nazr Mohammed	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	1	-5	16.1	14.1	1.97	17.5	17.8	-0.26
Dion Glover	60	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-6	9	14.3	15.4	-1.11	17.9	17.4	0.50
Theo Ratliff	64	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-4	5	14.4	15.2	-0.74	18.1	16.9	1.18
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.6	14.7	-0.09	17.4	19.1	-1.66
Jason Terry	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	1	-5	15.1	12.5	2.60	17.2	20.5	-3.29
Glenn Robinson	73	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.5	15.2	-0.68	17.2	19.9	-2.73

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scottie Pippen	57	57	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.41	12	-9	21	16.8	19.3	-2.47	14.3	15.2	-0.82
Rasheed Wallace	84	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-4	11	17.2	27.2	-10.03	14.7	14.2	0.50
Antonio Daniels	32	33	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.44	3	0	3	19.5	16.8	2.71	14.6	14.6	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	20	20	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-1	5	18.2	17.6	0.67	15.0	14.5	0.54
Bonzi Wells	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	3	-3	16.9	19.7	-2.83	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Zach Randolph	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.32	-6	9	-15	19.3	16.0	3.26	14.7	14.6	0.09
Derek Anderson	63	61	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	-2	7	16.9	19.8	-2.88	14.9	14.0	0.97
Arvydas Sabonis	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	-1	5	17.9	17.5	0.38	15.0	14.3	0.70
Jeff McInnis	35	35	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	17	-31	19.4	16.7	2.70	14.8	14.5	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, NJN 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CLE 82, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%