NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	5.3 [720]		MVP	Brian Evans (NJN): +19.2%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	1.2 [871]		LVP	Chucky Brown (ATL): -14.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	13	68%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.03
Greg Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	2	80%	0.00	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.05	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	11	64%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	12	28%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.00	5	140%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.03	0.02	14	69%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	17	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	54%	-0.01	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	0.04	7	70%	0.01	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	25.2	15.4	27.5	1.8	28.3	123.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +23.9%

NJN +6.3%

NJN +15.8%

NJN +1.9%

NJN +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.2	15.6	101.1	116.7	102.5
season	16.1	15.6		105.3	104.9
opponent	15.2	16.0		103.9	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	16.0	16.8	14.9	15.9
NJN	15.3	15.3	15.9	18.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	14	15	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-22	29	14.1	16.3	-2.14	15.9	16.3	-0.36
Greg Anderson	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-14	13	15.4	16.0	-0.56	15.1	16.4	-1.25
Drew Barry	16	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-13	11	14.2	16.3	-2.07	13.9	16.8	-2.93
Chris Crawford	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-15	15	15.1	16.1	-1.02	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Tyrone Corbin	65	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-4	-7	16.4	14.7	1.63	16.2	16.2	0.02
Chucky Brown	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-7	-1	16.2	15.6	0.57	16.0	16.5	-0.42
Eldridge Recasner	78	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.9	16.5	-0.58	16.2	16.4	-0.15
Mookie Blaylock	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	-2	-11	16.3	14.2	2.07	16.8	13.9	2.93
Alan Henderson	58	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	3	-21	15.3	17.1	-1.72	16.9	15.2	1.71
Dikembe Mutombo	67	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	2	-19	16.6	14.0	2.58	16.4	15.8	0.61

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Gatling	53	51	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-2	19	16.8	15.4	1.41	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Sam Cassell	58	57	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.05	22	-7	29	16.7	15.3	1.38	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Brian Evans	32	29	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.24	10	5	5	16.7	16.0	0.70	15.2	16.3	-1.04
Michael Cage	28	25	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	3	9	18.6	15.2	3.39	15.9	16.0	-0.03
Kerry Kittles	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	0	15	17.2	14.2	2.99	15.2	17.5	-2.22
Keith Van Horn	59	63	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.20	10	5	5	15.3	18.0	-2.69	16.5	14.5	1.99
Lucious Harris	29	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	15	-15	14.2	17.2	-2.99	17.5	15.2	2.22
David Vaughn	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	14.4	16.3	-1.94	8.0	16.3	-8.32
Kendall Gill	60	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.12	3	12	-9	15.8	17.0	-1.15	16.1	15.6	0.54
Sherman Douglas	32	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	22	-29	15.3	16.7	-1.38	16.6	15.6	0.97
Rony Seikaly	33	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	19	-23	15.5	16.6	-1.13	16.3	15.7	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	93.8%
LAC 97, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
CLE 82, LAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%