NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	8.3 [227]		MVP	Grant Williams (DAL): +33.4%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	2.4 [546]		LVP	Patrick Williams (CHI): -20.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	86%	0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.04	0.01	17	59%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Torrey Craig	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	13	50%	0.10	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Nikola Vucevic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.04	17	62%	0.09	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	12	38%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.26	0.15	0.07	10	96%	0.33	0	0.00	6	67%	0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.14	-0.00	15	77%	0.38	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	-0.00	13	65%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	7	56%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	0	83%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.02	5	30%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	16	44%	0.06	6	-0.19	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	24.2	14.4	27.6	2.5	30.5	127.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.1%

DAL +15.6%

DAL +9.4%

DAL +0.6%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DAL	NBA	CHI	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	14.5	110.5	120.0	113.9
season	14.5	14.3		113.4	116.0
opponent	14.5	15.0		113.8	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.5	14.8	13.7	13.6	14.8
DAL	15.2	17.9	14.6	14.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	22	22	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.02	8	-17	25	12.4	15.5	-3.17	16.7	15.2	1.58
Torrey Craig	36	34	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-10	11	14.6	14.9	-0.35	16.0	15.2	0.75
Andre Drummond	27	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-6	3	14.8	14.8	0.02	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Jevon Carter	31	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-6	3	14.5	15.0	-0.47	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Patrick Williams	48	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	15.5	14.1	1.41	14.8	16.3	-1.47
Coby White	65	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	15.0	14.5	0.49	15.5	15.5	0.02
Alex Caruso	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	15.4	14.4	1.04	16.2	15.0	1.17
Nikola Vucevic	68	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.8	-0.02	15.8	14.6	1.19
Zach LaVine	69	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.8	-0.01	15.8	14.6	1.19
DeMar DeRozan	68	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	8	-25	14.9	14.7	0.19	14.7	17.5	-2.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dereck Lively II	68	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.21	15	-6	21	15.0	16.9	-1.92	14.9	14.7	0.21
Josh Green	52	54	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-6	21	14.7	16.5	-1.73	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Luka Doncic	79	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-2	13	15.7	14.5	1.22	15.0	13.9	1.12
Grant Williams	60	60	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-4	17	15.3	15.9	-0.59	15.2	14.0	1.22
Jaden Hardy	26	28	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	3	3	16.4	15.2	1.20	14.5	14.9	-0.48
Derrick Jones Jr.	64	62	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-2	13	14.6	17.3	-2.68	15.1	14.3	0.76
Maxi Kleber	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	10	-11	17.0	15.4	1.62	15.2	14.8	0.49
Seth Curry	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	14	-19	16.9	15.0	1.91	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Dante Exum	19	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	14	-19	15.6	15.5	0.14	14.0	15.0	-0.97
Dwight Powell	19	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	14	-19	16.8	15.2	1.66	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Tim Hardaway Jr.	55	53	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	19	-29	16.1	14.7	1.45	14.8	14.8	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.29,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.51,0.66,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.57,0.44,0.59,0.65,0.74,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	92.1%
MEM 84, NOH 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.75,0.95,1,1,1	91.9%
LAC 95, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.8%