NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	6.1 [597]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +31.4%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	2.6 [777]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -22.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	9	57%	0.14	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	14	57%	0.17	3	-0.12	12	67%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	2	0%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	9	35%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	10	48%	0.04	7	-0.26	5	80%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.16	0.02	18	73%	0.39	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.12	-0.03	22	56%	0.26	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	12	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.8	29.0	15.8	30.1	2.3	34.4	140.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +25.3%

MEM -8.1%

MEM -4.6%

NOH +38.4%

MEM -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.5	93.3	104.3	106.4
season	16.1	16.6		101.7	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	13.7	17.4	17.4	16.4
NOH	17.0	16.9	12.8	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	23	24	0.38	-0.88	1.27	-0.06	15	-27	42	16.9	16.3	0.60	17.5	14.5	3.00
Darko Milicic	26	27	0.35	-0.85	1.19	-0.04	13	-25	38	15.5	16.8	-1.30	15.5	15.1	0.40
Hakim Warrick	43	44	0.33	-0.83	1.17	-0.14	16	-28	44	15.5	17.2	-1.70	16.1	14.4	1.72
Quinton Ross	17	17	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-20	28	16.4	16.4	-0.01	18.5	14.5	4.04
Hamed Haddadi	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	8.0	16.6	-8.61	22.0	15.1	6.91
Darius Miles	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	8.0	16.6	-8.61	22.0	15.1	6.91
Greg Buckner	25	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-4	-4	17.9	15.8	2.07	12.0	16.3	-4.32
Darrell Arthur	35	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	4	-20	16.9	16.1	0.85	15.3	15.2	0.05
O.J. Mayo	76	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.05	-17	5	-22	16.7	14.8	1.94	15.5	13.8	1.71
Rudy Gay	72	74	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.08	-23	11	-34	16.1	17.7	-1.62	14.5	18.3	-3.78
Marc Gasol	62	63	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	0.01	-29	17	-46	17.1	15.0	2.12	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Mike Conley	67	68	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.09	-27	15	-42	16.3	16.9	-0.60	14.5	17.5	-3.00

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	52	51	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.06	25	-13	38	14.4	16.3	-1.92	16.7	16.1	0.61
Rasual Butler	72	70	0.79	-0.29	1.07	-0.01	27	-15	42	14.3	18.6	-4.29	17.2	13.6	3.56
Chris Paul	81	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-9	30	14.5	20.6	-6.13	16.8	13.7	3.07
David West	83	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-7	26	14.5	21.9	-7.37	16.7	14.0	2.69
Sean Marks	33	29	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	5	2	15.8	14.9	0.81	14.5	17.3	-2.81
James Posey	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	9	-6	15.0	15.5	-0.47	16.9	15.9	1.04
Devin Brown	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	22.0	15.1	6.91	8.0	16.6	-8.61
Melvin Ely	11	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	15	-18	17.7	14.9	2.83	19.9	16.0	3.85
Antonio Daniels	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	21	-30	20.6	14.5	6.13	13.7	16.8	-3.07
Hilton Armstrong	27	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	19	-26	17.3	14.4	2.86	16.2	16.5	-0.33
Ryan Bowen	21	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	20	-28	16.0	15.0	0.92	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Morris Peterson	18	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	23	-34	18.2	14.5	3.71	14.3	17.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.6,0.75,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.3%
DAL 88, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	91.6%
PHX 76, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.98,1,1	91.2%