NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	7.1 [462]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +36.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	1.6 [723]		LVP	MarShon Brooks (MEM): -15.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	12	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	10	65%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	15	54%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luka Doncic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	20	37%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	0.00	14	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.20	-0.01	18	74%	0.42	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.09	0.04	3	120%	0.19	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	48%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	16	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.0	26.0	14.6	29.2	1.8	27.5	126.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +76.4%

DAL -8.8%

DAL -7.4%

DAL -13.8%

MEM +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	15.7	14.3	91.7	104.3	109.3
season	14.7	15.4		108.5	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.1		107.4	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	12.9	15.1	15.1	14.7
MEM	15.4	14.3	17.0	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	74	75	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-13	16	14.4	15.4	-0.98	15.2	17.4	-2.13
Ryan Broekhoff	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	6.5	14.8	-8.33	22.0	15.6	6.40
Devin Harris	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	14.1	14.9	-0.79	16.6	15.2	1.40
Maxi Kleber	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	13.6	15.5	-1.95	15.0	16.2	-1.13
DeAndre Jordan	76	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-7	4	15.0	13.3	1.71	16.1	13.9	2.23
Jalen Brunson	51	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	14.0	15.4	-1.44	15.8	15.5	0.31
Dennis Smith Jr.	61	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	15.2	13.7	1.44	15.5	15.9	-0.37
Harrison Barnes	73	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.17	-15	5	-20	14.9	13.8	1.09	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Dorian Finney-Smith	66	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.18	-17	7	-24	15.5	12.9	2.55	15.6	15.8	-0.16

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	70	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.22	17	-7	24	15.7	15.5	0.23	15.9	11.2	4.67
Mike Conley	69	69	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-8	26	15.4	16.3	-0.83	15.0	13.7	1.38
Kyle Anderson	62	65	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.18	16	-6	22	15.5	16.0	-0.45	15.5	13.0	2.49
Garrett Temple	64	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	2	6	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.1	13.8	1.37
Jaren Jackson Jr.	71	70	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.27	-1	11	-12	16.2	14.1	2.04	15.2	13.1	2.17
JaMychal Green	29	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	3	4	15.7	15.7	-0.02	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Wayne Selden	32	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.10	2	8	-6	15.6	15.7	-0.16	13.7	15.2	-1.45
Shelvin Mack	36	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	14	-18	16.2	15.3	0.89	13.1	15.7	-2.65
Omri Casspi	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	17	-24	14.9	15.8	-0.86	11.8	15.0	-3.21
MarShon Brooks	26	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	16	-22	14.9	16.0	-1.09	12.0	15.6	-3.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.75,0.93,0.96,1,1	93.5%
WAS 99, ATL 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
MIN 84, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.68,0.54,0.43,0.3,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.8%