inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 99 Excitement7.8 [289] MVPOtto Porter (WAS): +34.1%
Atlanta Hawks 114 Comeback2.0 [665] LVPJohn Wall (WAS): -20.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Otto Porter0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.180.13-0.041282%0.341-0.004100%0.03
Gary Neal0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.070.01757%0.122-0.0600%0.00
Nene0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.06-0.010.00677%0.131-0.0710%-0.04
Marcin Gortat0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.040.01856%0.073-0.072100%0.01
Kelly Oubre0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.002100%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Jared Dudley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01540%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bradley Beal-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.160.07-0.041244%0.168-0.211100%0.01
Kris Humphries-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.001041%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
John Wall-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.08-0.13-0.011651%0.077-0.285100%0.05

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.220.110.021581%0.3200.001100%0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.040.110.00487%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.00-0.021462%0.141-0.036100%0.03
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.070.003100%0.172-0.072100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.040.060.00583%0.162-0.062100%0.03
Kyle Korver0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.07-0.00658%0.1000.0000%0.00
Walter Tavares00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.04650%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.011347%0.022-0.094100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.05-0.001030%-0.043-0.1300%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.15-0.03-0.011631%-0.074-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.026.214.624.72.031.2122.4
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +14.3%
WAS -6.5%
ATL +12.1%
ATL +29.3%
ATL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASATLNBAWASATLNBA
this game13.115.414.998.0112.9105.1
season13.814.2104.1104.1
opponent15.115.1100.3104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.213.813.412.913.1
ATL17.813.916.114.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Dudley43410.17-0.670.840.054-192312.813.3-0.4615.715.20.45
Kelly Oubre220.00-0.500.500.000-151516.513.03.4711.515.5-3.99
Garrett Temple220.00-0.500.500.000-151516.513.03.4711.515.5-3.99
Nene4747-0.08-0.420.34-0.235-202512.613.5-0.9015.015.8-0.82
Gary Neal3738-0.15-0.350.210.15-10-5-512.013.7-1.6915.715.20.47
Ramon Sessions3229-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-8113.612.90.6814.915.6-0.73
John Wall7679-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-10512.813.9-1.0415.316.0-0.69
Otto Porter8382-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-12-3-913.511.42.0115.515.20.32
Marcin Gortat5454-0.42-0.08-0.340.17-205-2513.512.60.9015.815.00.82
Bradley Beal7677-0.530.03-0.55-0.09-150-1513.113.2-0.0815.814.21.53
Kris Humphries5354-0.660.16-0.83-0.22-150-1513.412.80.5515.215.7-0.50

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap70700.51-0.010.520.0117-21915.814.51.2513.611.91.73
Kent Bazemore62600.470.030.43-0.0016-11715.715.00.6813.213.00.21
Al Horford64640.390.110.28-0.0816-11715.615.10.4912.414.3-1.85
Thabo Sefolosha40400.340.160.180.0896316.514.71.8413.512.80.71
Dennis Schroder44470.290.210.080.17411-716.114.91.2414.412.02.44
Justin Holiday36370.160.34-0.190.07312-915.015.7-0.6912.513.5-1.01
Jeff Teague61600.130.37-0.24-0.16105514.816.3-1.4612.414.1-1.76
Kyle Korver58570.120.38-0.270.03312-914.916.2-1.3012.713.6-0.95
Mike Muscala37370.110.39-0.280.14-116-1715.115.6-0.4914.312.41.85
Walter Tavares220.000.50-0.500.00015-1511.515.5-3.9916.513.03.47
Mike Scott3131-0.010.51-0.520.05-217-1914.515.8-1.2511.913.6-1.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 88, MEM 980.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.9,0.96,1,1,193.4%
TOR 99, BOS 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,192.0%
HOU 98, DAL 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.85,0.93,1,1,191.7%