NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	7.7 [313]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +28.0%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	3.0 [556]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -11.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.24	0.04	0.17	-0.03	20	61%	0.41	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	14	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	79%	0.24	7	-0.23	9	89%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	10	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.18	-0.02	20	54%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	5	57%	0.21	2	-0.09	13	69%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	15	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.06
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	-0.09	0.04	13	72%	0.09	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	30.0	14.8	23.5	2.0	43.1	142.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -4.1%

NJN +12.2%

NJN +17.4%

NJN +27.5%

LAC -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NJN	NBA	LAC	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.4	99.0	105.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.4		103.3	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	14.7	16.5	15.5	15.7
NJN	14.0	15.3	15.6	12.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	0	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-2	-2	0.0	15.7	-15.66	1.0	14.5	-13.48
James Singleton	0	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-2	-2	0.0	15.7	-15.66	1.0	14.5	-13.48
Yaroslav Korolev	0	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-2	-2	0.0	15.7	-15.66	1.0	14.5	-13.48
Quinton Ross	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	0	-6	16.6	15.4	1.23	14.1	14.4	-0.26
Jason Hart	42	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	0	-6	17.1	14.5	2.64	14.4	14.3	0.11
Elton Brand	80	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.29	6	-12	18	15.3	17.4	-2.14	14.4	14.1	0.35
Chris Kaman	59	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-5	4	16.8	13.8	3.05	15.1	13.1	1.93
Sam Cassell	57	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-4	2	14.3	17.6	-3.30	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Tim Thomas	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-4	2	15.6	15.7	-0.02	14.1	14.8	-0.74
Cuttino Mobley	87	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-4	2	15.7	15.2	0.48	14.5	13.0	1.50
Corey Maggette	74	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.43	-7	1	-8	15.0	18.0	-2.98	14.2	14.7	-0.47

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	79	81	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.30	22	-16	38	13.9	16.2	-2.30	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Mikki Moore	53	54	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.48	10	-4	14	14.5	14.2	0.33	16.9	14.1	2.78
Richard Jefferson	76	77	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.38	13	-7	20	13.9	16.0	-2.09	16.1	13.9	2.13
Bostjan Nachbar	46	45	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-8	22	14.2	14.4	-0.20	14.7	16.5	-1.82
Vince Carter	78	77	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.40	-1	7	-8	14.5	13.7	0.76	16.1	14.0	2.06
Eddie House	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	4	-2	16.1	14.0	2.02	13.6	16.0	-2.44
Antoine Wright	25	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	7	-8	12.8	14.9	-2.03	14.0	16.3	-2.29
Jason Collins	50	51	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	13	-20	14.3	14.4	-0.05	16.3	15.0	1.32
Josh Boone	33	32	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.06	-10	16	-26	15.8	13.6	2.25	13.8	16.6	-2.81
Marcus Williams	26	24	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.00	-12	18	-30	15.0	14.1	0.90	16.3	15.4	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 94, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.85,1,1	93.1%
MIL 93, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.98,1	92.3%
HOU 107, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.9,1	92.1%