NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	7.9 [252]		MVP	Todd MacCulloch (NJN): +19.1%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	3.0 [511]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -16.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	-0.02	-0.06	19	50%	0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.12	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	23	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Art Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	18	47%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jerome James	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	11	39%	-0.08	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.04	0.03	14	83%	0.23	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.01	14	57%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	6	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	0.04	17	53%	0.02	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.0	25.1	15.4	23.8	1.8	29.6	119.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.8%

NJN +25.5%

SEA -1.2%

NJN +5.2%

SEA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NJN	NBA	SEA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	13.6	15.6	96.9	110.4	102.3
season	16.0	14.7		106.3	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.8		98.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.1	15.6	17.2	16.1	16.2
NJN	12.7	13.8	14.1	13.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	25	27	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.06	10	-22	32	15.4	16.5	-1.14	16.2	12.6	3.62
Earl Watson	31	33	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.06	9	-21	30	16.9	15.9	0.96	16.0	12.3	3.73
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-7	2	16.0	16.5	-0.50	13.1	14.0	-0.93
Art Long	6	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-10	8	20.0	16.0	4.00	13.2	13.6	-0.44
Desmond Mason	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-7	2	16.6	15.7	0.93	14.4	12.3	2.14
Gary Payton	78	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	1	-14	15.7	18.5	-2.83	12.8	16.8	-4.06
Brent Barry	82	81	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	5	-22	16.5	15.0	1.48	13.1	16.2	-3.10
Vin Baker	70	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.12	-19	7	-26	16.3	16.2	0.09	12.9	15.1	-2.25
Rashard Lewis	86	85	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.19	-18	6	-24	16.2	17.0	-0.85	13.3	16.1	-2.83

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	73	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-6	24	12.9	15.8	-2.95	16.4	15.8	0.60
Todd MacCulloch	67	67	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.22	17	-5	22	12.8	15.4	-2.62	15.8	17.2	-1.33
Kenyon Martin	76	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	-2	16	13.5	13.9	-0.40	16.1	16.7	-0.54
Jason Kidd	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	3	6	12.9	15.9	-2.97	15.5	18.6	-3.09
Lucious Harris	55	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	6	0	14.4	12.5	1.83	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Kerry Kittles	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	8	-4	12.3	14.6	-2.35	16.3	16.2	0.10
Derrick Dial	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	9	-6	15.9	12.9	2.97	18.6	15.5	3.09
Aaron Williams	18	18	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	14	-16	14.2	13.4	0.72	16.6	16.2	0.38
Jason Collins	10	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	13	-14	19.1	12.9	6.16	18.1	16.0	2.10
Richard Jefferson	41	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	16	-20	15.2	12.4	2.77	16.5	16.1	0.40
Brandon Armstrong	2	2	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	16	-20	10.0	13.7	-3.66	10.0	16.4	-6.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	93.1%
DEN 81, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.9%
WAS 87, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.94,0.96,1	92.0%