NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	7.7 [273]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +12.0%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	1.5 [873]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -20.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	16	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	8	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	13	39%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Gerard King	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	11	59%	0.09	5	-0.22	5	80%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	15	32%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.34,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	19	48%	-0.05	3	-0.16	12	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	29.9	15.0	25.0	1.7	35.4	136.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.5%

WAS -0.6%

WAS -0.4%

DET +3.8%

DET +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	15.5	92.6	97.9	100.9
season	15.2	14.3		98.6	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		99.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	15.8	15.0	20.8	16.4
DET	13.7	13.7	15.6	13.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	33	35	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.07	9	-15	24	13.5	17.9	-4.40	14.7	13.8	0.90
Michael Smith	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-9	12	14.7	17.2	-2.53	14.6	13.9	0.79
Calvin Booth	3	4	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-7	8	14.7	16.4	-1.76	12.7	14.2	-1.43
Tyrone Nesby	55	53	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-9	12	15.2	18.0	-2.78	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Gerard King	51	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.35	7	-13	20	15.6	17.3	-1.71	14.4	13.8	0.64
Jahidi White	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	6	-18	17.4	15.6	1.82	14.2	14.0	0.23
Felipe Lopez	87	89	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	16.1	19.3	-3.15	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Juwan Howard	63	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	3	-12	17.2	14.7	2.53	13.9	14.6	-0.79
Richard Hamilton	43	45	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.34	-12	6	-18	18.4	14.6	3.81	14.6	13.6	1.00
Rod Strickland	62	61	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.26	-15	9	-24	17.9	13.5	4.35	13.6	15.1	-1.56

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Curry	46	47	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-12	30	15.1	13.2	1.93	18.4	14.3	4.15
Ben Wallace	61	61	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.24	16	-10	26	14.1	14.1	0.09	17.5	14.2	3.28
Chucky Atkins	57	57	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.23	16	-10	26	13.5	15.1	-1.56	17.8	14.2	3.60
Jerry Stackhouse	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	13.7	15.4	-1.68	16.9	14.5	2.31
Eric Montross	28	29	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-8	22	15.5	13.5	1.96	17.7	15.8	1.91
Jerome Williams	52	51	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.35	-7	13	-20	14.2	14.0	0.13	16.5	16.2	0.26
John Wallace	11	10	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.02	4	2	2	12.5	14.3	-1.78	17.3	16.3	1.04
Dana Barros	43	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	14.2	14.1	0.09	15.1	17.4	-2.26
Mikki Moore	14	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	9	-12	14.9	14.0	0.87	13.0	16.9	-3.87
Mateen Cleaves	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	13	-20	14.0	14.2	-0.21	13.6	17.2	-3.55
Joe Smith	23	24	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.06	-12	18	-30	13.1	14.4	-1.30	13.0	17.5	-4.53
Jud Buechler	45	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.14	-15	21	-36	14.2	14.0	0.24	13.9	18.5	-4.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	92.7%
MIL 89, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	92.6%
LAC 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.89,1,1,1	92.3%