NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	89		Excitement	7.0 [390]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (BOS): +21.2%
Boston Celtics	98		Comeback	1.4 [1150]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -10.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	17	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Charlie Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	17	68%	0.22	7	-0.27	3	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	19	41%	0.11	4	-0.21	3	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	8	81%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	13	71%	0.25	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	8	83%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.15	-0.00	9	44%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	62%	0.12	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	62%	0.03	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.6	31.0	15.0	27.1	2.5	33.2	138.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.0%

BOS +0.1%

MIL -21.5%

BOS +32.7%

BOS +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.3	96.7	104.3	106.0
season	15.5	15.5		103.3	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.3	16.8	16.5	14.9	16.2
BOS	14.4	13.2	14.2	17.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	25	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	17.2	15.8	1.44	15.3	14.7	0.61
Charlie Bell	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-11	13	15.5	17.2	-1.67	15.4	14.0	1.32
Luke Ridnour	28	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	16.4	16.0	0.40	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Brandon Jennings	77	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-8	7	16.0	17.1	-1.17	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Andrew Bogut	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	15.7	18.5	-2.77	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Carlos Delfino	58	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	16.7	15.3	1.36	15.2	14.1	1.09
Luc Mbah a Moute	57	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	4	-17	16.4	15.7	0.66	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Ersan Ilyasova	82	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	4	-17	16.3	15.3	0.96	14.8	14.9	-0.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	75	72	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.23	18	-9	27	15.2	13.3	1.90	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Kendrick Perkins	59	58	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-6	21	15.3	14.1	1.23	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Paul Pierce	75	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-1	11	15.0	14.0	1.04	15.7	17.8	-2.11
Kevin Garnett	65	65	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-4	17	15.1	14.3	0.80	16.0	16.6	-0.68
Ray Allen	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-2	13	15.1	13.9	1.23	16.3	15.6	0.68
Shelden Williams	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	13.6	14.9	-1.32	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Brian Scalabrine	29	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	12	-15	14.3	15.1	-0.80	16.6	16.0	0.68
Eddie House	43	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	15	-21	14.2	15.4	-1.23	16.7	15.7	1.02
Rasheed Wallace	35	34	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	15	-21	14.1	15.3	-1.23	16.5	15.9	0.55
Tony Allen	11	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.00	-8	17	-25	12.3	15.2	-2.90	17.0	16.0	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.98,1	93.5%
BOS 77, MIA 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.99,0.92,1	93.1%
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	92.8%