NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	7.5 [338]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +26.7%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	1.2 [983]		LVP	John Salmons (PHI): -31.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	10	35%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	15	57%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Steven Hunter	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	7	94%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	73%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	21	42%	-0.09	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
John Salmons	-0.31	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.18,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31	-0.22	-0.10	-0.01	18	32%	-0.09	7	-0.22	4	75%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.11	0.01	17	70%	0.34	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	0.00	7	82%	0.24	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	11	48%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.01	19	52%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	9	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	4	10%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	0.02	14	35%	-0.08	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	31.2	16.7	25.3	2.7	39.2	141.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.1%

PHI -1.0%

GSW +9.2%

GSW +5.2%

GSW +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.6	92.7	102.1	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		104.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.3		104.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.0	15.6	18.0	13.3	16.1
GSW	13.3	14.4	12.8	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	25	22	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-10	11	14.2	16.8	-2.64	16.0	13.2	2.80
Shavlik Randolph	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.07	-1	-8	7	15.7	16.1	-0.40	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Samuel Dalembert	17	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-7	5	17.3	15.9	1.43	12.9	14.1	-1.13
Steven Hunter	60	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	16.9	14.7	2.23	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Kevin Ollie	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-2	-5	15.4	17.0	-1.56	14.2	13.5	0.73
Chris Webber	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	16.2	15.8	0.35	14.4	11.7	2.66
Kyle Korver	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-2	-5	16.6	14.5	2.04	13.2	16.5	-3.37
Andre Iguodala	81	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	2	-13	16.0	16.9	-0.89	14.1	12.9	1.13
John Salmons	83	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	-1	-7	16.0	16.8	-0.76	13.7	15.4	-1.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	74	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-5	19	14.3	12.6	1.62	15.8	17.3	-1.50
Derek Fisher	71	71	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-4	17	13.9	13.8	0.17	16.8	14.2	2.64
Troy Murphy	67	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-4	17	14.3	12.9	1.42	16.1	16.1	0.06
Mike Dunleavy	82	82	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-1	11	13.7	15.1	-1.47	16.3	14.8	1.56
Adonal Foyle	33	32	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	-3	15	12.5	14.6	-2.18	17.4	15.5	1.94
Mickael Pietrus	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.24	2	7	-5	14.1	13.7	0.41	14.7	17.7	-2.92
Monta Ellis	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	12	-15	14.5	13.6	0.90	14.7	16.7	-2.00
Will Bynum	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	11	-13	12.4	14.0	-1.59	15.5	16.2	-0.67
Ike Diogu	31	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	14	-19	13.6	14.0	-0.35	15.2	16.5	-1.38
Zarko Cabarkapa	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	13	-17	11.4	14.1	-2.65	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Andris Biedrins	29	30	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	14	-19	14.4	13.6	0.81	18.2	15.2	3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.54,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	94.1%
MIL 89, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.5%
CLE 84, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.5%