NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	7.0 [438]		MVP	Dean Wade (CLE): +12.7%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.6 [328]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -27.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dean Wade	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	14	59%	0.15	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Craig Porter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	22	60%	0.13	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	43%	0.04	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	16	47%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	14	39%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	3	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.05	23	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.10	0.05	10	64%	0.00	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.19	-0.09	-0.01	15	20%	-0.20	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.4	15.5	29.4	1.8	39.0	142.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +74.6%

CLE +5.3%

NYK -20.7%

NYK -9.2%

NYK -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	13.9	15.9	14.5	97.9	92.7	113.9
season	14.8	15.6		113.0	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.0	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	13.9	13.2	14.2	13.9
NYK	17.7	15.4	15.6	15.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	65	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-4	14	13.6	14.5	-0.82	14.5	18.7	-4.16
Evan Mobley	72	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-2	10	13.7	14.5	-0.81	16.6	14.2	2.45
Georges Niang	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-1	8	12.9	15.3	-2.40	17.3	14.0	3.31
Donovan Mitchell	74	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	3	0	13.6	14.8	-1.19	16.6	13.6	2.99
Isaac Okoro	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.29	-1	7	-8	13.4	14.7	-1.26	17.5	13.5	3.99
Max Strus	69	71	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	3	0	14.8	11.8	2.95	15.9	16.0	-0.08
Craig Porter	23	22	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	3	0	14.8	13.6	1.19	13.6	16.6	-2.99
Dean Wade	40	39	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	7	-8	15.3	12.9	2.40	14.0	17.3	-3.31
Tristan Thompson	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	8	-10	14.0	13.9	0.17	14.2	16.6	-2.45

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	20	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-6	6	12.8	16.8	-3.96	15.4	13.5	1.93
Josh Hart	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	16.3	15.3	0.99	14.5	13.0	1.51
Isaiah Hartenstein	34	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-1	-4	14.1	17.0	-2.91	14.7	13.5	1.26
Quentin Grimes	40	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	3	-12	18.6	14.0	4.61	13.9	13.9	0.06
Mitchell Robinson	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-5	4	17.0	14.1	2.91	13.5	14.7	-1.26
Donte DiVincenzo	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-7	8	14.7	18.3	-3.56	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Immanuel Quickley	58	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-5	4	14.1	18.7	-4.55	13.6	14.4	-0.70
Julius Randle	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	16.7	14.0	2.64	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Jalen Brunson	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	0	-6	16.8	12.8	3.96	13.5	15.4	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.8%
NYK 100, CHH 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.04,0	93.7%
CHA 96, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	93.3%