inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 88 Excitement6.6 [450] MVPDerek Harper (ORL): +2.2%
Philadelphia 76ers 78 Comeback1.8 [471] LVPTim Thomas (PHI): -27.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Harper0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01756%0.0200.00475%-0.02
Kevin Edwards-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gerald Wilkins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Horace Grant-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.001553%0.032-0.074100%0.02
Kevin Ollie-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Dan Schayes-0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.001146%-0.031-0.03450%-0.02
Bo Outlaw-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.01557%0.054-0.114100%0.02
Derek Strong-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.010.01952%-0.022-0.051164%-0.06
David Benoit-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Nick Anderson-0.130,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.02-0.012242%-0.053-0.08862%-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.020.00275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01575%0.042-0.05250%-0.02
Allen Iverson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.031456%0.094-0.11667%-0.01
Mark Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kebu Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00260%-0.021-0.02633%-0.08
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00250%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Joe Smith0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021647%-0.013-0.062100%0.01
Aaron McKie0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.00629%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Tim Thomas0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.15-0.130.001637%-0.163-0.12887%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.825.014.827.22.331.6126.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +4.4%
ORL +4.1%
ORL +27.8%
ORL +9.3%
ORL +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLPHINBAORLPHINBA
this game18.614.615.6102.388.6102.5
season16.715.4100.399.7
opponent15.515.6102.1101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.020.417.719.518.6
PHI13.614.915.914.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Harper67680.58-0.080.660.0518-82618.020.5-2.4615.013.21.74
Nick Anderson70730.500.000.490.0615-52018.518.7-0.1615.012.82.16
Bo Outlaw72740.430.070.360.0513-31618.220.6-2.4914.912.92.06
Derek Strong55570.420.080.340.1691818.618.50.1214.614.50.17
Horace Grant67670.360.140.230.1091817.721.6-3.8814.315.7-1.41
Dan Schayes47480.240.26-0.020.1537-419.317.61.7314.914.20.67
Kevin Edwards550.110.39-0.280.0528-620.018.51.5314.414.6-0.20
David Benoit14140.070.43-0.360.16-313-1620.618.22.4912.914.9-2.06
Kevin Ollie1920-0.080.58-0.660.16-818-2620.518.02.4613.215.0-1.74
Gerald Wilkins1414-0.130.63-0.770.10-818-2619.518.41.1213.114.9-1.81

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Shaw24250.08-0.580.67-0.065-152015.014.40.5617.818.9-1.01
Anthony Parker12110.08-0.580.66-0.044-141814.514.6-0.1118.418.6-0.22
Kebu Stewart39370.01-0.510.53-0.083-131615.014.30.7319.018.20.73
Mark Davis1616-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-7414.914.50.3521.018.03.00
Eric Snow2927-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-7-3-415.314.21.1220.617.63.02
Tim Thomas5958-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-6-4-214.115.5-1.3817.620.6-3.09
Aaron McKie4847-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.17-100-1013.615.7-2.0818.818.20.60
Joe Smith6665-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.19-100-1014.614.6-0.0618.319.4-1.09
Theo Ratliff7069-0.530.03-0.57-0.15-133-1614.614.6-0.0318.618.40.18
Allen Iverson7775-0.590.09-0.67-0.20-133-1614.912.52.3418.221.3-3.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.06,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 121, IND 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.4,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.25,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.01,094.2%
ORL 104, TOR 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,093.9%
BOS 93, TOR 790.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.17,0.07,0,0,0,093.9%