NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	6.0 [610]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +10.9%
Charlotte Hornets	95		Comeback	1.4 [416]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -11.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	18	62%	0.17	3	-0.06	12	100%	0.08
Allan Houston	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	18	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	59%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Travis Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	62%	-0.00	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.00	8	80%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	16	51%	0.01	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	24.4	15.8	23.2	2.7	37.6	131.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.8%

CHH -0.0%

NYK +18.0%

NYK +4.2%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHH	NBA	NYK	CHH	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.6	109.9	105.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.6	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.0	16.9	15.1	15.0	16.2
CHH	14.1	16.6	15.5	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	80	80	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	15.7	19.8	-4.11	15.4	17.2	-1.79
Marcus Camby	81	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-1	7	16.1	17.3	-1.23	15.6	16.0	-0.44
Mark Jackson	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	1	3	15.8	16.9	-1.13	15.4	15.9	-0.45
Allan Houston	77	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	7	-9	16.9	12.6	4.30	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Othella Harrington	39	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	2	1	16.9	15.7	1.21	16.1	15.3	0.80
Travis Knight	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.21	-2	7	-9	13.7	16.9	-3.19	14.8	15.8	-1.04
Shandon Anderson	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	1	3	15.8	16.4	-0.62	17.0	15.1	1.92
Kurt Thomas	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	2	1	17.0	15.5	1.41	15.7	15.6	0.09
Charlie Ward	36	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	16.9	15.8	1.13	15.9	15.4	0.45

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-11	17	15.4	15.7	-0.34	14.7	16.8	-2.18
Bryce Drew	6	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	16.7	15.5	1.13	19.9	15.9	3.95
Jamaal Magloire	38	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-4	3	16.1	15.3	0.81	15.4	16.8	-1.40
Lee Nailon	36	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	0	-5	15.9	15.4	0.42	17.1	15.6	1.54
P.J. Brown	35	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	14.5	16.3	-1.89	17.8	15.0	2.80
Stacey Augmon	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-7	9	15.4	16.2	-0.82	15.9	16.8	-0.83
Robert Traylor	28	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	5	-15	17.3	14.9	2.43	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Elden Campbell	52	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	15.3	16.1	-0.81	16.8	15.4	1.40
Baron Davis	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	15.5	16.7	-1.13	15.9	19.9	-3.95
David Wesley	82	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	2	-9	15.7	14.7	0.95	16.0	18.4	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.24,0.18,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 104, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.01,0	94.2%
SAS 97, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.19,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.2%
HOU 91, GSW 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	94.0%