NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	5.6 [684]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +38.0%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	2.9 [627]		LVP	De'Anthony Melton (PHI): -11.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.27	0.09	-0.01	20	79%	0.40	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.03	0.10	21	71%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.03	-0.04	17	46%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	10	56%	0.05	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
P.J. Tucker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	8	89%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.01	0.08	16	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	16	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jalen McDaniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	78%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	14	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	28.2	15.4	24.4	2.3	31.7	130.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.2%

PHI +0.1%

TOR -0.5%

PHI +16.0%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	14.5	122.6	115.1	113.9
season	14.9	14.0		115.6	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.5		117.6	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	17.4	14.4	18.0	16.2
TOR	14.7	15.4	15.0	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	77	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	16.5	14.4	2.11	15.5	11.8	3.70
Kelly Oubre Jr.	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.22	3	4	-1	16.1	16.3	-0.21	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Tobias Harris	66	69	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	7	-7	16.9	14.3	2.61	14.8	14.7	0.10
Patrick Beverley	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-3	13	14.1	17.4	-3.27	15.0	14.7	0.34
Joel Embiid	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	9	-11	17.1	13.8	3.35	14.5	15.4	-0.82
De'Anthony Melton	61	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	7	-7	16.4	15.8	0.61	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Danuel House Jr.	24	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	0	7	14.5	16.8	-2.21	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Paul Reed	26	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.04	9	-2	11	13.8	17.1	-3.35	15.4	14.5	0.82
P.J. Tucker	40	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	7	-7	17.2	15.4	1.78	15.1	14.6	0.50
Danny Green	11	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	14.7	16.4	-1.65	12.9	15.0	-2.10

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	35	37	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-12	17	14.8	14.8	-0.02	15.1	16.9	-1.83
Chris Boucher	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-5	3	14.7	14.8	-0.16	14.6	16.8	-2.22
Malachi Flynn	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-5	3	14.6	14.9	-0.24	14.3	17.0	-2.66
Jalen McDaniels	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-2	-3	13.7	14.9	-1.16	11.7	16.5	-4.83
Gary Trent Jr.	65	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-10	13	14.8	14.8	-0.00	16.6	15.2	1.40
Gradey Dick	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-8	9	14.9	14.6	0.29	16.4	15.9	0.44
Dennis Schroder	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	14.9	14.6	0.24	17.0	14.3	2.66
Pascal Siakam	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	14.8	14.7	0.16	16.8	14.6	2.22
Scottie Barnes	70	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-1	-5	14.4	15.8	-1.38	16.3	15.8	0.48
Jakob Poeltl	48	47	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.07	-19	12	-31	15.3	14.2	1.09	16.6	15.7	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.17,0.2,0.09,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, SAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.15,0.04,0	93.4%
MIA 96, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
IND 105, NOH 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%