inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 108 Excitement8.6 [199] MVPChet Holmgren (OKC): +38.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers 105 Comeback255.4 [7] LVPIsaiah Joe (OKC): -24.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chet Holmgren0.380,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.38,0.380.100.27-0.02973%0.411-0.03475%-0.00
Luguentz Dort0.350,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.350.180.210.031378%0.371-0.02667%-0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.170,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.170.080.08-0.002663%0.335-0.162100%0.03
Cason Wallace0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.030.00490%0.1200.002100%0.02
Lindy Waters III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vasilije Micic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001150%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ousmane Dieng-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011444%0.074-0.154100%0.03
Josh Giddey-0.200,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.15-0.05-0.01812%-0.123-0.0800%0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.10-0.15-0.011024%-0.191-0.0510%-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caris LeVert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.040.11-0.011653%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Dean Wade0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.03-0.01667%0.091-0.0100%0.00
Donovan Mitchell0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.060.060.17-0.100.012766%0.385-0.321182%-0.01
Evan Mobley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.011247%0.042-0.03667%-0.02
Damian Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Ty Jerome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.00333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Isaac Okoro0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.030.02850%-0.021-0.03475%-0.00
Georges Niang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.00617%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.050.001429%-0.092-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.01.827.015.329.52.841.4145.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +46.8%
OKC +5.5%
OKC +0.3%
CLE -5.6%
OKC +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCCLENBAOKCCLENBA
this game13.014.014.5100.999.1113.9
season13.914.8117.1113.0
opponent14.714.7111.3109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.412.314.713.013.0
CLE12.915.014.713.714.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Joe50500.63-0.130.760.2812-92112.813.2-0.3713.814.2-0.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander80800.58-0.090.670.474-1512.913.4-0.5413.814.5-0.70
Chet Holmgren68680.55-0.050.590.376-3913.212.70.5814.313.40.92
Jalen Williams78770.52-0.020.530.375-2712.813.6-0.7114.512.61.96
Luguentz Dort89880.330.170.170.51-69-1513.212.40.7113.914.5-0.59
Aaron Wiggins29250.200.30-0.090.1521111.113.7-2.6114.014.0-0.06
Lindy Waters III230.070.43-0.36-0.023034.513.2-8.706.714.2-7.56
Vasilije Micic12120.070.43-0.370.0121114.312.91.4614.713.90.74
Cason Wallace3938-0.010.51-0.52-0.1030313.212.90.3015.213.41.79
Ousmane Dieng2425-0.100.60-0.700.02-47-1114.112.71.3513.314.2-0.90
Josh Giddey6464-0.340.84-1.180.01-1215-2713.612.21.3513.415.0-1.64

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Jones22230.01-0.510.52-0.145-81312.814.3-1.5012.513.2-0.66
Isaac Okoro6264-0.10-0.400.300.11-74-1113.814.2-0.4113.112.90.18
Georges Niang4546-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-3314.513.60.9113.312.80.47
Donovan Mitchell9294-0.20-0.300.09-0.417-101714.013.80.2613.311.31.97
Ty Jerome1919-0.21-0.290.08-0.00-74-1116.713.43.2613.113.00.02
Max Strus8786-0.23-0.270.04-0.468-111913.416.9-3.5812.714.4-1.73
Dean Wade6059-0.510.01-0.52-0.25-96-1514.313.70.6312.413.8-1.44
Caris LeVert6970-0.550.05-0.60-0.46-30-313.814.4-0.5313.212.80.35
Evan Mobley7474-0.580.08-0.66-0.31-96-1514.213.70.5113.512.11.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.37,0.22,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.73,0.66,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 93, MIN 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.84,091.6%
MIA 100, ATL 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.58,091.2%
ORL 100, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.62,0.52,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.74,090.2%