NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	8.3 [230]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +24.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	13.2 [196]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (PHX): -20.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Okogie	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	16	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.2,-0.08,-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	28	57%	0.20	8	-0.32	13	77%	-0.07
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	4	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.11	0.03	17	68%	0.28	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.03,-0.08,0.06,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.16	-0.01	14	58%	0.37	5	-0.22	8	75%	0.03
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	10	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	16	42%	-0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	32.0	15.8	29.6	3.3	37.6	147.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +9.2%

LAL +8.6%

PHX -11.8%

LAL +37.2%

LAL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	12.1	14.5	90.5	95.2	113.9
season	14.6	14.1		116.1	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.3	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	17.3	13.1	15.7	15.3
LAL	12.4	11.5	13.1	11.4	12.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	41	39	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.14	1	-6	7	15.0	15.5	-0.56	11.4	12.6	-1.19
Jordan Goodwin	64	64	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.15	8	-13	21	14.4	16.8	-2.40	12.2	12.0	0.18
Kevin Durant	85	86	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.52	18	-23	41	14.6	18.1	-3.46	12.7	9.8	2.86
Nassir Little	32	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	2	-9	14.8	15.5	-0.74	11.1	12.6	-1.49
Yuta Watanabe	35	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	9	-23	15.8	15.0	0.80	10.8	12.7	-1.87
Josh Okogie	67	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-8	11	16.2	13.7	2.44	12.7	11.1	1.64
Grayson Allen	75	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.46	-2	-3	1	15.6	14.5	1.16	12.1	12.1	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	59	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.5	-0.44	12.6	11.5	1.13
Eric Gordon	67	67	-1.10	0.60	-1.70	-0.31	-27	22	-49	16.1	13.8	2.28	11.9	12.5	-0.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Wood	45	46	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.35	23	-18	41	11.6	12.5	-0.86	16.5	14.3	2.18
LeBron James	78	77	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.28	22	-17	39	12.2	12.1	0.08	15.5	14.7	0.79
Gabe Vincent	76	77	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-8	21	11.9	12.8	-0.86	15.7	14.1	1.62
Anthony Davis	86	87	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-2	9	12.0	12.8	-0.80	15.3	15.2	0.16
Austin Reaves	62	61	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.56	-11	16	-27	12.3	11.9	0.46	14.6	16.3	-1.72
D'Angelo Russell	72	72	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	-3	11	12.2	11.9	0.28	15.4	15.0	0.47
Jaxson Hayes	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	2	1	12.7	12.1	0.60	16.3	15.2	1.17
Taurean Prince	39	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.09	-15	20	-35	13.2	11.5	1.66	14.8	15.6	-0.75
Cam Reddish	27	27	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.01	-12	17	-29	11.9	12.2	-0.38	13.6	15.9	-2.29
Rui Hachimura	28	28	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	18	-31	11.9	12.2	-0.33	14.5	15.6	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.08,0.11,0.21,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.79,0.85,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.74,1	91.2%
SAS 89, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.95,1	90.6%
POR 82, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	90.1%