inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 107 Excitement5.6 [675] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +20.6%
Denver Nuggets 119 Comeback1.2 [952] LVPGabe Vincent (LAL): -13.2%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.070.041664%0.1500.0010%-0.00
Taurean Prince0.150,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.170.000.028100%0.181-0.032100%0.01
Christian Wood0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.070.01470%0.101-0.02250%-0.02
Cam Reddish0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.02470%0.0400.002100%0.00
Max Christie0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaxson Hayes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maxwell Lewis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
D'Angelo Russell-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.01-0.041242%0.013-0.03250%-0.01
Rui Hachimura-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.011030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Austin Reaves-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.020.021148%-0.052-0.03771%-0.00
Anthony Davis-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.040.021745%-0.062-0.044100%0.02
Gabe Vincent-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.040.03837%-0.072-0.0600%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.050.011375%0.231-0.022100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.040.012260%0.192-0.04450%-0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.060.001168%0.1500.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.030.021277%0.163-0.062100%0.01
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.01542%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Braxton Key00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Collin Gillespie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00850%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.051346%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.33.530.215.828.72.832.2137.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +52.1%
LAL -0.3%
LAL -2.1%
LAL -1.4%
DEN +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game14.016.114.5111.5125.3113.9
season14.115.0114.4116.2
opponent14.614.3111.6114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.212.013.615.614.0
DEN13.016.816.418.716.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James59560.15-0.650.80-0.057-192613.914.2-0.2417.114.72.39
Cam Reddish34320.03-0.530.56-0.187-192612.814.7-1.8917.715.32.31
Max Christie220.00-0.500.500.000-121212.514.1-1.5718.016.11.91
Maxwell Lewis220.00-0.500.500.000-121212.514.1-1.5718.016.11.91
D'Angelo Russell7271-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-131413.814.7-0.8916.714.52.12
Christian Wood2826-0.09-0.410.33-0.152-141614.513.90.6019.514.84.70
Jaxson Hayes1112-0.17-0.330.170.04-7-5-213.814.1-0.2520.715.55.29
Rui Hachimura3032-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-4-413.614.2-0.6414.117.1-3.02
Taurean Prince6463-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.03-142-1614.213.60.6314.619.2-4.62
Austin Reaves6767-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.08-142-1614.114.00.1114.719.4-4.68
Gabe Vincent4040-0.510.01-0.53-0.02-175-2215.313.22.1117.515.12.37
Anthony Davis7172-0.630.13-0.76-0.13-175-2214.213.70.4314.820.2-5.40

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic77770.56-0.060.630.1215-31814.622.5-7.8614.014.3-0.34
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope77770.440.060.380.14102814.722.3-7.5913.815.0-1.19
Michael Porter Jr.64640.420.080.340.071201214.519.4-4.8914.313.60.67
Reggie Jackson44460.410.090.310.081111017.115.31.8014.513.70.80
Aaron Gordon72730.290.210.080.1166015.218.9-3.6214.412.81.66
Christian Braun34350.240.26-0.010.1057-218.814.64.1514.014.0-0.02
Jamal Murray67670.160.34-0.190.0739-616.914.22.6614.213.60.65
Peyton Watson19190.050.45-0.400.02111-1019.615.24.3812.214.5-2.35
Braxton Key110.000.50-0.500.00012-1224.016.07.967.014.1-7.12
Jalen Pickett110.000.50-0.500.00012-1224.016.07.967.014.1-7.12
Collin Gillespie110.000.50-0.500.00012-1224.016.07.967.014.1-7.12
Zeke Nnaji1819-0.060.56-0.630.02-315-1822.514.67.8614.314.00.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.75,0.66,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.88,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 61, NJN 840.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.8%
CHH 78, LAC 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.72,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,193.8%
MIA 84, IND 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.7%