NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	61		Excitement	4.2 [979]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +8.2%
New Jersey Nets	84		Comeback	1.0 [1206]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -15.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Lewis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	21	51%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	7	43%	0.00	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.20	-0.01	-0.07	18	25%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	10	33%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	17	68%	0.16	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	18	48%	-0.05	5	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.8	31.7	17.0	30.2	2.7	29.2	141.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +23.7%

MIN -3.5%

NJN +7.7%

NJN +21.1%

NJN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NJN	NBA	MIN	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.7	64.9	87.5	100.5
season	15.6	15.3		103.2	98.1
opponent	16.2	16.1		95.2	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.5	16.2	13.8	17.5	15.9
NJN	13.5	15.1	13.9	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	27	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-25	27	14.0	16.7	-2.75	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Mark Madsen	24	24	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.16	-5	-18	13	17.1	15.5	1.55	15.5	14.1	1.40
Trenton Hassell	16	18	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-24	25	14.0	16.3	-2.32	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Quincy Lewis	26	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-21	19	16.0	15.9	0.10	15.5	13.9	1.54
Fred Hoiberg	48	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.24	-16	-7	-9	16.1	15.7	0.41	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Michael Olowokandi	42	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-10	-3	16.3	15.6	0.74	15.0	13.9	1.14
Gary Trent	50	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-13	3	15.2	16.7	-1.55	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Ervin Johnson	11	14	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-13	3	17.0	15.8	1.22	12.6	14.7	-2.06
Kevin Garnett	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-7	-9	15.9	15.9	0.00	14.7	12.9	1.73
Latrell Sprewell	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	-2	-19	15.9	16.0	-0.09	13.9	16.8	-2.87
Sam Cassell	67	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.21	-25	2	-27	16.7	14.0	2.75	14.7	13.7	0.98

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	85	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.22	25	-2	27	14.1	16.8	-2.72	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Kerry Kittles	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.32	27	-4	31	13.9	15.2	-1.31	16.6	14.8	1.77
Richard Jefferson	81	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	4	15	14.4	14.3	0.17	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Alonzo Mourning	44	43	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.26	20	3	17	14.4	14.4	0.05	16.7	15.2	1.51
Kenyon Martin	42	40	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.06	12	11	1	14.6	14.2	0.38	16.2	15.7	0.48
Jason Collins	60	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.19	15	8	7	15.4	12.7	2.74	16.5	15.0	1.52
Brian Scalabrine	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	21	-19	12.5	15.1	-2.67	14.0	16.7	-2.71
Aaron Williams	34	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	24	-25	13.9	14.7	-0.77	15.1	16.4	-1.24
Brandon Armstrong	33	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	24	-25	14.8	14.2	0.58	15.2	16.3	-1.02
Doug Overton	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	17.0	14.3	2.71	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Zoran Planinic	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	25	-27	16.8	14.1	2.72	16.3	15.9	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
BOS 104, DAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MEM 98, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%