NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	157		Excitement	9.0 [145]		MVP	Buddy Hield (IND): +79.5%
Atlanta Hawks	152		Comeback	11.1 [81]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -8.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.80	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.51,0.8	0.25	0.58	0.03	11	109%	0.82	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.15	0.02	10	79%	0.30	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Obi Toppin	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	16	62%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.22	0.21	0.01	-0.00	18	86%	0.50	6	-0.28	7	86%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.08	0.04	9	74%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Sheppard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.56,0.68,0.68	0.68	0.29	0.41	0.02	17	90%	0.74	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.22	0.02	0.01	15	76%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.00	7	63%	0.16	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	19	70%	0.32	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	12	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	33.3	14.4	29.4	2.5	30.5	137.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +75.0%

ATL -14.7%

ATL -11.3%

ATL -1.9%

IND +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.0	13.2	14.5	141.4	139.4	113.9
season	13.7	14.2		120.1	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.6		118.0	117.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	12.3	11.7	15.1	13.0
ATL	13.2	12.5	14.4	12.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	70	69	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.18	20	-15	35	12.5	13.9	-1.42	14.0	11.7	2.25
Tyrese Haliburton	89	89	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-11	27	12.7	14.4	-1.69	13.3	12.7	0.58
Isaiah Jackson	29	26	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-3	11	14.1	12.6	1.48	12.5	13.4	-0.89
Obi Toppin	79	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	8	-11	13.4	12.0	1.42	12.5	14.7	-2.14
Aaron Nesmith	54	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	1	3	13.4	12.7	0.67	13.7	12.6	1.11
Bennedict Mathurin	47	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.18	-1	6	-7	13.3	12.8	0.57	13.0	13.3	-0.30
Bruce Brown	70	71	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.17	-1	6	-7	12.9	13.2	-0.30	13.2	13.2	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	32	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	9	-13	14.2	12.5	1.74	12.7	13.3	-0.61
Myles Turner	59	60	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.13	5	0	5	11.8	14.4	-2.59	14.1	12.0	2.17
Ben Sheppard	13	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	14	-23	12.3	13.1	-0.79	10.2	13.5	-3.38
Jalen Smith	13	12	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.10	-10	15	-25	14.3	12.8	1.47	10.6	13.5	-2.91

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	49	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-11	17	12.5	13.7	-1.24	13.6	12.5	1.11
Wesley Matthews	20	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-6	7	11.8	13.5	-1.62	12.9	13.0	-0.13
Clint Capela	45	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	5	-15	14.2	12.4	1.78	11.4	14.2	-2.80
Jalen Johnson	75	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	13.2	13.1	0.17	12.9	13.2	-0.25
Dejounte Murray	79	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	2	-9	13.5	12.2	1.34	12.5	14.3	-1.82
De'Andre Hunter	62	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	6	-17	14.1	12.0	2.14	12.2	14.1	-1.88
Saddiq Bey	68	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-9	13	12.7	13.9	-1.17	14.3	10.9	3.43
Trae Young	89	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	13.0	14.0	-1.07	13.1	12.7	0.36
Bogdan Bogdanovic	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	12.7	13.8	-1.11	13.8	12.1	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.16,0.08,0.16,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.59,0	90.0%
BOS 89, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.38,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.16,0	89.8%
WAS 114, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.03,0.07,0.1,0	89.6%