NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	97		Excitement	7.9 [225]		MVP	Charles Jenkins (GSW): +29.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	11.9 [32]		LVP	Malcolm Lee (MIN): -14.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Jenkins	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3	0.04	0.27	0.01	13	59%	0.35	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
David Lee	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.10	0.02	25	54%	0.21	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	58%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.04	0.02	7	93%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickell Gladness	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	16	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	11	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,0.16,0.03	0.03	-0.13	0.15	-0.01	15	47%	0.20	7	-0.17	2	0%	-0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,0,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.17	-0.03	28	48%	0.01	1	-0.14	5	100%	0.04
Malcolm Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	29.6	15.0	24.0	1.8	35.0	132.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +17.1%

GSW +0.5%

MIN -6.2%

GSW +33.4%

GSW +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.6	103.2	98.9	102.8
season	15.2	15.3		103.6	102.6
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.7	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	15.2	13.8	20.2	15.5
MIN	15.6	13.6	15.6	15.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	82	83	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-11	25	15.5	15.4	0.12	15.4	12.2	3.19
Dorell Wright	53	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.03	21	-18	39	14.1	17.4	-3.31	15.6	14.2	1.45
Charles Jenkins	64	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-4	11	15.3	16.0	-0.65	15.6	13.6	1.94
Jeremy Tyler	49	49	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-10	23	15.3	15.8	-0.49	15.8	14.0	1.81
Brandon Rush	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.51	-10	13	-23	16.3	14.8	1.46	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Dominic McGuire	19	16	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.52	-16	19	-35	15.8	15.4	0.40	11.6	15.6	-4.08
Mickell Gladness	10	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-1	5	13.8	15.7	-1.93	15.2	14.9	0.29
Klay Thompson	46	50	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.18	7	-4	11	15.0	16.1	-1.11	15.4	14.5	0.89
Richard Jefferson	51	53	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.36	-14	17	-31	16.7	14.1	2.55	14.1	16.0	-1.87
Nate Robinson	30	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	16.0	15.3	0.65	13.2	15.8	-2.62
Andris Biedrins	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.16	-8	11	-19	16.9	15.1	1.81	15.3	14.9	0.40

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	23	24	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-11	19	14.1	15.2	-1.09	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Malcolm Lee	28	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.20	8	-11	19	14.8	15.0	-0.24	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Derrick Williams	26	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-9	15	14.0	15.3	-1.37	15.6	15.5	0.11
Wesley Johnson	77	73	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	14.6	16.6	-1.97	15.9	14.2	1.65
Anthony Tolliver	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.32	4	-7	11	13.7	15.2	-1.52	21.3	14.3	6.98
Wayne Ellington	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-10	17	14.4	15.6	-1.19	16.7	14.0	2.61
Martell Webster	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	11	-25	15.3	14.5	0.77	14.0	17.3	-3.33
Jose Juan Barea	72	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.22	-13	10	-23	15.4	13.5	1.89	15.7	15.0	0.75
Nikola Pekovic	43	46	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.34	-10	7	-17	16.2	13.9	2.33	14.3	16.7	-2.43
Kevin Love	84	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	8	-19	15.2	13.0	2.21	15.3	17.0	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.16,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.42,0	91.1%
CHH 94, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.29,0.22,0.15,0	89.4%
GSW 111, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.22,0.1,0.27,0	88.7%