NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	6.8 [471]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +23.5%
New Orleans Hornets	85		Comeback	8.7 [163]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -29.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.01	11	71%	0.24	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Delonte West	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	5	82%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Jeff Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	0.02	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Nenad Krstic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	23	62%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.09	0.00	13	82%	0.21	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Aaron Gray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.06
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	9	18%	-0.21	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	28.6	16.0	25.1	2.3	44.5	140.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +25.5%

BOS +12.2%

NOH -17.7%

BOS +24.9%

BOS +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	17.1	18.0	15.5	109.9	102.4	105.7
season	15.7	16.2		104.8	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.8		104.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	17.7	16.7	19.1	17.1
NOH	15.3	18.3	23.3	16.1	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	47	48	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.39	12	-8	20	17.8	16.3	1.52	19.4	16.0	3.35
Ray Allen	74	77	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.28	12	-8	20	17.2	17.0	0.16	18.0	17.8	0.14
Delonte West	30	33	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-12	28	17.2	17.1	0.03	19.6	16.9	2.73
Kevin Garnett	62	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	16.8	18.4	-1.66	18.0	17.7	0.28
Jeff Green	34	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	-3	10	17.7	16.7	1.01	18.0	17.9	0.06
Rajon Rondo	51	51	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.37	-12	16	-28	17.1	17.2	-0.03	16.5	20.2	-3.67
Paul Pierce	59	61	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.35	-12	16	-28	17.1	17.4	-0.30	17.3	19.8	-2.52
Nenad Krstic	48	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	7	-10	16.7	17.8	-1.13	17.6	18.4	-0.75

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	1	0	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	0.0	18.2	-18.18	0.0	17.1	-17.15
Quincy Pondexter	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-2	0	20.4	17.8	2.59	14.2	17.3	-3.14
Marco Belinelli	62	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-15	26	18.2	17.2	1.04	17.0	17.8	-0.81
Carl Landry	17	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	3	-10	18.8	17.8	1.01	18.0	17.0	1.05
Jarrett Jack	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	18.8	17.8	1.02	18.7	16.8	1.95
Emeka Okafor	71	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.47	4	-8	12	18.2	16.7	1.52	17.3	16.1	1.20
Chris Paul	68	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-4	4	17.8	18.8	-1.02	16.8	18.7	-1.95
Willie Green	21	19	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	11	-26	17.2	18.2	-1.04	16.8	17.2	-0.40
Trevor Ariza	78	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-2	0	17.8	20.4	-2.59	17.3	14.2	3.14
David West	77	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	1	-6	17.8	19.8	-2.02	17.1	18.2	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.38,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.17,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.05,0	92.6%
TOR 108, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.43,0.27,0	91.3%
TOR 72, PHI 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.32,0.42,0	91.3%