NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	108		Excitement	9.1 [104]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +51.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	5.4 [181]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -39.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.51	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.51	0.07	0.45	0.02	15	69%	0.78	6	-0.27	12	75%	0.06
Andrea Bargnani	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	21	53%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.00	3	80%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	59%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.37,0.47,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.19	-0.00	13	82%	0.38	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.23	0.23	0.03	0.21	0.01	7	62%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.02	13	67%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	3	30%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	12	57%	-0.05	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.4	-0.40	-0.16	-0.24	-0.01	24	37%	-0.25	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	32.6	15.6	27.1	2.4	34.5	140.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +55.2%

TOR +29.8%

PHI -21.1%

PHI -6.7%

PHI -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	14.3	15.3	106.9	103.9	106.0
season	15.0	15.1		109.6	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		108.4	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	11.9	13.8	15.9	14.0
PHI	13.3	14.8	15.0	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	50	51	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.53	7	-5	12	13.6	14.5	-0.91	14.2	14.5	-0.24
Marco Belinelli	31	33	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-12	26	12.6	14.7	-2.11	15.3	13.9	1.39
Amir Johnson	32	32	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-4	10	12.3	14.8	-2.48	15.3	13.9	1.47
Sonny Weems	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-5	12	12.9	14.8	-1.91	15.2	13.7	1.42
Chris Bosh	77	78	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	5	-8	14.4	13.0	1.36	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Hedo Turkoglu	64	65	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.45	-8	10	-18	14.3	13.5	0.83	13.6	15.7	-2.15
Andrea Bargnani	82	83	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	4	-6	14.9	10.2	4.72	14.2	14.7	-0.50
Jarrett Jack	65	66	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.30	-8	10	-18	14.7	12.8	1.87	13.6	15.6	-2.02
Antoine Wright	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	2	-2	11.8	14.3	-2.50	16.5	14.0	2.46
DeMar DeRozan	51	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	14.7	13.3	1.39	14.8	13.9	0.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	70	69	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.04	7	-9	16	14.1	14.9	-0.83	15.0	12.0	3.03
Jrue Holiday	35	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	1	-4	14.0	14.5	-0.55	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Marreese Speights	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-5	8	13.9	14.5	-0.54	11.2	14.9	-3.71
Lou Williams	70	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-7	12	14.1	14.8	-0.70	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Samuel Dalembert	79	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	3	-8	14.5	13.9	0.54	14.9	11.2	3.71
Willie Green	29	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	8	-18	15.9	13.7	2.23	12.0	14.9	-2.86
Andre Iguodala	99	97	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-3	4	14.4	13.7	0.69	14.2	9.7	4.47
Rodney Carney	7	7	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	2	-6	15.4	14.3	1.18	10.3	14.3	-4.03
Thaddeus Young	98	98	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	2	-6	14.2	16.7	-2.52	14.1	11.0	3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.14,0.08,0	92.0%
OKC 124, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.43,0.55,0.42,0	91.9%
NYK 104, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.54,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.15,0.09,0.16,0	91.7%