inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 104 Excitement8.0 [247] MVPPaul Pierce (WAS): +15.0%
Atlanta Hawks 98 Comeback5.1 [113] LVPJeff Teague (ATL): -13.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.150,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.090.070.021559%0.1500.002100%0.02
Otto Porter0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.110.060.070.01862%0.1100.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.03-0.00675%0.131-0.024100%0.02
Bradley Beal0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.04-0.002252%0.111-0.011080%0.03
Marcin Gortat0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.090.060.040.00960%0.0900.002100%0.02
Ramon Sessions0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.03-0.01542%0.0300.00250%-0.02
John Wall-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.021945%-0.022-0.062100%0.00
Kevin Seraphin-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.060.0030%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Nene-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.01-0.0040%-0.072-0.0400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.18-0.020.041377%0.171-0.04560%-0.02
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.01-0.00764%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Pero Antic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.060.00542%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07-0.070.00-0.070.011543%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.021741%-0.004-0.09367%-0.02
Al Horford0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.07-0.021942%-0.033-0.092100%0.02
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.07-0.001437%-0.101-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.13.429.915.827.53.437.5142.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +47.3%
WAS +7.7%
ATL -11.4%
WAS +10.4%
ATL -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASATLNBAWASATLNBA
this game15.414.915.1110.6102.1104.2
season15.114.9102.9106.7
opponent15.415.3101.8101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.514.516.416.415.4
ATL13.815.514.216.414.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otto Porter67670.60-0.100.700.2811-51615.415.6-0.2015.214.11.10
Bradley Beal77780.470.030.430.238-21016.212.04.1714.815.3-0.46
Ramon Sessions35350.400.100.290.1010-41414.116.2-2.0315.414.60.82
Marcin Gortat76750.370.130.230.3706-615.415.7-0.3114.516.2-1.64
Kevin Seraphin19200.270.230.030.1542214.715.6-0.9214.015.1-1.14
Drew Gooden27270.200.30-0.10-0.0910-41416.615.01.6014.914.90.03
John Wall77790.150.35-0.200.32-612-1815.017.1-2.0814.815.6-0.83
Paul Pierce59630.150.35-0.210.26-410-1415.415.4-0.0215.114.50.60
Nene3336-0.090.59-0.68-0.00-39-1215.615.30.3415.214.70.42

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford64600.05-0.550.60-0.167-132014.316.2-1.9215.115.9-0.78
Mike Scott1515-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-5417.114.52.5613.815.7-1.92
Shelvin Mack54-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-4217.614.82.8412.215.6-3.31
Dennis Schroder2828-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-7814.015.3-1.2816.015.20.83
DeMarre Carroll7674-0.20-0.300.10-0.262-81015.114.30.7715.515.10.40
Kent Bazemore3536-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-104-1414.015.4-1.4316.314.81.49
Paul Millsap7574-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-3015.213.81.4015.714.41.29
Jeff Teague6866-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.21-71-815.314.01.2815.216.0-0.83
Kyle Korver7674-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.42-2-4215.014.60.3915.116.7-1.70
Pero Antic3839-0.660.16-0.83-0.22-159-2414.515.2-0.6315.915.00.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.14,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 96, SAC 930.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.56,0.47,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,093.0%
PHI 102, BOS 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,092.4%
NJN 105, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.6,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,092.4%