NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	105		Excitement	8.3 [173]		MVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): +22.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	4.8 [308]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -25.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.04	0.13	0.00	19	51%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03	-0.06	0.09	-0.01	9	35%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	25	58%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
David Benoit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	7	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Keith Van Horn	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	19	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.07
Sherman Douglas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.01	16	73%	0.26	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.13	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.03
Scott Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	3	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	5	31%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.06	0.03	13	42%	-0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	17	43%	-0.18	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.6	28.1	15.4	24.6	2.6	39.2	138.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.2%

PHI -7.1%

NJN +3.4%

NJN +14.8%

PHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.5	15.6	108.2	100.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.4		104.9	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.1	15.1	15.8	15.5	15.1
PHI	11.2	14.9	16.9	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kerry Kittles	74	76	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-7	21	15.0	15.2	-0.15	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Sam Cassell	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-4	15	15.0	15.5	-0.56	14.0	17.1	-3.13
Jayson Williams	87	86	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	9	-11	15.1	14.6	0.51	13.5	21.6	-8.09
David Benoit	35	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	-1	9	13.9	15.7	-1.88	17.2	12.9	4.25
Keith Van Horn	67	69	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	1	5	15.2	14.8	0.38	13.6	16.6	-3.04
Chris Gatling	30	29	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	6	-5	14.8	15.2	-0.38	16.6	13.6	3.04
Michael Cage	10	12	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	0	7	14.6	15.1	-0.51	21.6	13.5	8.09
Kendall Gill	56	56	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.31	-9	16	-25	15.9	13.9	1.97	12.4	17.2	-4.83
Sherman Douglas	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	5	-3	15.8	14.8	1.02	15.9	13.9	2.00
Lucious Harris	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	10	-13	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.9	14.2	1.74

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	9	10	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-11	15	13.9	14.5	-0.65	16.9	14.9	2.05
Scott Williams	4	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-7	7	17.0	14.4	2.63	18.2	14.9	3.31
Eric Snow	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-1	-5	14.4	14.5	-0.14	15.8	14.8	1.00
Aaron McKie	30	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	16.9	13.4	3.44	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Derrick Coleman	86	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-10	13	14.1	17.1	-2.97	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Clar. Weatherspoon	37	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	3	-13	17.0	13.0	4.01	13.7	15.9	-2.17
Allen Iverson	78	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-9	11	14.1	16.1	-2.04	15.3	14.2	1.09
Jim Jackson	78	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	1	-9	14.2	15.5	-1.34	14.7	16.2	-1.45
Theo Ratliff	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	13.6	16.6	-3.01	15.6	13.8	1.86
Tim Thomas	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	3	-13	14.2	15.3	-1.08	15.0	15.3	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.6,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.14,0.08,0	92.4%
SAC 115, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.02,0,0	92.2%
PHX 124, MIA 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.14,0.29,0.6,0.32,0.11,0.22,0.08,0	91.1%