NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	6.1 [577]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +19.5%
Brooklyn Nets	124		Comeback	2.7 [513]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (BKN): -4.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goga Bitadze	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.03	0.05	7	87%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	4	79%	0.11	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Franz Wagner	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	16	60%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	4	137%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.04	-0.04	10	42%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Paolo Banchero	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Anthony Black	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.02	13	38%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.01	11	77%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.07	0.07	18	69%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	6	93%	0.15	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.01	5	67%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	60%	0.06	6	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	0.2	24.4	14.5	26.4	2.5	28.4	124.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +34.6%

BKN +0.6%

BKN +7.9%

BKN +6.0%

BKN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.7	14.5	109.5	130.5	113.9
season	15.1	14.8		111.8	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		114.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	13.2	18.6	15.5	15.6
BKN	14.0	16.2	14.1	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Black	37	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.16	-4	-16	12	15.5	15.7	-0.20	15.4	14.2	1.19
Chuma Okeke	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-15	10	10.2	15.9	-5.71	14.8	14.7	0.10
Jett Howard	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	11.4	16.0	-4.60	15.9	14.6	1.31
Caleb Houstan	11	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.17	-8	-12	4	13.2	15.9	-2.75	14.2	14.8	-0.56
Jonathan Isaac	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-22	24	15.0	15.8	-0.82	15.2	14.5	0.73
Cole Anthony	56	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-21	22	15.6	15.6	0.04	14.7	14.6	0.10
Franz Wagner	69	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-12	4	15.6	15.5	0.10	15.4	12.8	2.64
Goga Bitadze	47	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-6	-8	16.1	15.1	1.07	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Moritz Wagner	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-13	6	15.3	15.9	-0.63	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Paolo Banchero	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-4	-12	16.0	14.7	1.32	14.7	14.8	-0.18
Joe Ingles	40	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	-10	0	16.5	14.9	1.58	13.5	15.6	-2.14
Jalen Suggs	64	63	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	0.01	-27	7	-34	16.2	14.5	1.72	14.2	15.7	-1.58

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.21	25	-5	30	15.1	13.5	1.51	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Royce O'Neale	70	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	5	10	14.4	15.6	-1.21	14.6	18.0	-3.39
Nic Claxton	37	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	0	20	14.8	14.7	0.08	18.0	13.9	4.10
Dennis Smith Jr.	40	40	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	11	-2	13.0	15.9	-2.90	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Lonnie Walker IV	42	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	14	-8	13.3	15.8	-2.46	14.5	16.5	-2.01
Cameron Johnson	56	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.36	21	-1	22	15.0	14.3	0.67	16.5	14.4	2.08
Day'Ron Sharpe	50	48	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	22	-24	14.7	14.8	-0.10	14.5	16.7	-2.24
Mikal Bridges	61	61	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.29	12	8	4	15.6	13.1	2.47	16.4	14.2	2.19
Dorian Finney-Smith	46	47	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	26	-32	15.8	13.6	2.22	15.4	15.8	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.52,0.43,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
POR 100, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	92.5%
CHA 85, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	92.4%