NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	6.3 [564]		MVP	Justin Holiday (IND): +14.4%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	3.4 [648]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): -15.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	15	59%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Hassan Whiteside	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	15	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	27	49%	0.11	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Wenyen Gabriel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Nassir Little	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Anfernee Simons	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	92%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	15	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.04	-0.04	9	65%	0.16	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
JaKarr Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	20	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.4	27.3	15.8	28.0	2.8	31.3	133.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +1.1%

IND +18.7%

IND +16.4%

IND +11.7%

IND +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	14.2	101.0	108.2	109.6
season	14.4	14.4		111.9	108.7
opponent	14.4	13.9		107.4	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	15.0	14.2	12.3	14.1
IND	13.4	17.7	13.5	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wenyen Gabriel	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	13.8	14.1	-0.27	16.7	15.0	1.80
Carmelo Anthony	74	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-10	14	14.3	13.4	0.90	15.3	14.7	0.56
Hassan Whiteside	70	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-5	4	14.2	13.9	0.30	15.2	15.1	0.03
Caleb Swanigan	28	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	14.2	14.0	0.15	15.5	15.0	0.50
CJ McCollum	79	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-4	2	14.4	12.6	1.78	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Anfernee Simons	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	1	-8	14.6	13.6	0.93	14.9	15.4	-0.53
Nassir Little	25	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	4	-14	13.4	14.3	-0.90	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Trevor Ariza	77	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	2	-10	13.8	14.9	-1.02	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Gary Trent Jr.	85	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	13.6	16.9	-3.33	15.5	13.1	2.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	37	38	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-8	22	15.8	14.8	0.94	13.8	14.2	-0.46
Justin Holiday	48	47	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-6	18	15.6	14.8	0.76	14.5	13.7	0.84
Malcolm Brogdon	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	2	2	15.1	15.3	-0.22	14.3	13.1	1.20
Aaron Holiday	27	30	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.09	10	-4	14	14.7	15.4	-0.70	14.8	13.7	1.09
Myles Turner	68	67	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	2	2	14.7	16.3	-1.67	13.8	14.7	-0.96
Domantas Sabonis	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.25	-2	8	-10	15.2	15.1	0.08	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Doug McDermott	24	26	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	6	-6	15.4	15.1	0.27	14.2	14.0	0.16
Goga Bitadze	12	14	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	15.0	15.2	-0.20	14.8	14.0	0.83
Victor Oladipo	54	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	13	-20	14.8	15.6	-0.80	13.5	14.7	-1.21
JaKarr Sampson	7	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	19.1	14.9	4.27	11.3	14.3	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 100, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
DAL 105, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
DEN 101, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%