NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	122		Excitement	8.4 [221]		MVP	Cam Reddish (LAL): +30.7%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	6.5 [160]		LVP	Taurean Prince (LAL): -16.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Reddish	0.31	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31	0.14	0.18	0.01	10	77%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.23	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.08	0.00	17	71%	0.35	4	-0.12	11	64%	-0.05
Austin Reaves	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	11	65%	0.21	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Christian Wood	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Jaxson Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.16	-0.02	-0.12	0.02	8	39%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	27	59%	0.31	4	-0.09	10	80%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.03	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	17	60%	0.11	2	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.4	31.6	16.7	32.7	1.0	37.1	150.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.3%

PHX -3.5%

LAL +4.0%

LAL +13.0%

LAL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	14.5	123.2	120.2	113.9
season	14.1	14.6		114.4	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.5	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	13.2	12.4	15.0	13.8
PHX	14.1	14.5	15.8	17.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	54	56	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-4	11	14.7	12.6	2.12	15.2	15.4	-0.15
LeBron James	74	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.45	2	1	1	14.4	11.9	2.54	15.2	15.6	-0.33
Christian Wood	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-5	13	13.2	14.1	-0.89	16.9	14.5	2.48
Rui Hachimura	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-3	9	14.1	13.6	0.55	16.2	14.7	1.49
Austin Reaves	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	13.9	13.5	0.41	15.9	13.8	2.08
Taurean Prince	70	70	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	0	3	13.2	15.3	-2.12	14.8	16.5	-1.65
Anthony Davis	76	77	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	8	-13	13.3	15.3	-2.05	14.9	16.7	-1.82
D'Angelo Russell	63	63	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	2	-1	13.0	15.1	-2.01	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Jaxson Hayes	10	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	16.3	13.5	2.81	13.3	15.5	-2.24

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	27	26	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.00	7	-10	17	15.0	15.4	-0.43	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Yuta Watanabe	33	31	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.07	6	-9	15	14.7	15.6	-0.97	12.2	14.5	-2.35
Kevin Durant	81	81	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-11	19	14.8	17.4	-2.60	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Drew Eubanks	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	3	-9	17.1	14.6	2.58	13.1	14.0	-0.90
Grayson Allen	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	2	-7	14.8	16.3	-1.45	13.8	13.7	0.17
Eric Gordon	58	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-6	9	15.5	15.1	0.37	14.0	13.5	0.43
Keita Bates-Diop	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	3	-9	15.5	15.1	0.39	13.9	13.6	0.28
Jusuf Nurkic	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-8	13	14.7	16.6	-1.89	14.5	12.2	2.30
Jordan Goodwin	13	13	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	10	-23	18.8	14.8	3.98	13.4	13.8	-0.45
Bradley Beal	62	66	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.52	-14	11	-25	15.7	14.6	1.10	14.2	13.0	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.81,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, MIA 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.05,0	92.7%
MIA 113, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.05,0	91.3%
WAS 96, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.09,0.08,0	91.1%