NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	8.1 [257]		MVP	Bruce Brown (IND): +17.9%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	3.1 [300]		LVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): -9.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.15	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.15	0.24	-0.03	0.06	21	73%	0.20	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	12	46%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Georges Niang	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Garland	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	11	54%	0.11	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.05
Evan Mobley	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.1	0.00	-0.12	-0.02	13	54%	0.07	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.08	-0.03	15	63%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	9	78%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	8	65%	0.18	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.03
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	8	81%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.13	-0.01	14	49%	0.15	4	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Myles Turner	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.16	-0.11	0.01	14	79%	0.20	3	-0.17	6	83%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	27.4	15.3	26.6	2.7	39.3	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.7%

CLE -16.6%

IND +14.2%

CLE -4.2%

IND +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	14.1	14.5	112.6	117.5	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		113.0	120.1
opponent	14.6	14.7		117.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	14.6	14.0	14.2	13.9
IND	15.0	12.0	15.4	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	58	58	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.00	9	-14	23	13.5	14.4	-0.88	14.1	14.0	0.10
Evan Mobley	76	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.43	11	-16	27	13.5	15.0	-1.46	14.9	11.7	3.17
Jarrett Allen	43	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-6	7	13.6	14.1	-0.52	15.3	13.1	2.18
Tristan Thompson	6	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	3	-11	18.8	13.6	5.26	11.2	14.2	-3.02
Dean Wade	8	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	4	-13	14.6	13.8	0.80	7.3	14.6	-7.29
Max Strus	61	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-6	7	14.3	13.3	1.01	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Donovan Mitchell	78	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	13.9	13.8	0.16	14.5	12.7	1.85
Isaac Okoro	49	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	12	-29	14.8	13.0	1.78	13.3	14.8	-1.55
Caris LeVert	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-2	-1	13.3	15.0	-1.76	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Darius Garland	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	5	-15	13.8	14.0	-0.17	13.8	14.6	-0.76

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	64	65	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.40	11	-6	17	13.7	14.7	-1.07	14.2	13.4	0.77
Buddy Hield	66	65	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-9	23	13.9	14.4	-0.55	14.3	13.2	1.07
Bruce Brown	79	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	14.1	14.2	-0.12	14.0	13.5	0.50
Tyrese Haliburton	73	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	2	1	14.2	13.8	0.39	13.7	14.4	-0.68
Aaron Nesmith	58	59	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	2	1	13.9	14.3	-0.45	13.9	13.8	0.15
Obi Toppin	45	44	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	14.3	13.9	0.45	13.8	13.9	-0.15
Andrew Nembhard	41	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	12	-19	14.0	14.1	-0.05	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Bennedict Mathurin	50	51	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	9	-13	14.2	13.9	0.32	14.2	13.6	0.58
Jalen Smith	39	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	9	-13	14.7	13.7	1.07	13.1	14.4	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.44,0.63,0.41,0.29,0.61,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.54,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.84,1	92.3%
CHI 91, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.65,0.58,1	90.9%
LAC 103, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.6,0.68,0.88,0.85,0.58,1	90.9%