NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	7.5 [316]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +17.6%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	1.9 [444]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -19.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.05	0.03	14	82%	0.26	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.07	0.11	-0.02	10	41%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Harold Jamison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	20	41%	0.11	1	-0.14	4	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	14	33%	-0.06	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	0.00	22	69%	0.37	5	-0.19	7	100%	0.08
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	20	50%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.08
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	12	58%	0.05	4	-0.07	9	78%	0.02
Dean Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	26.4	16.4	29.2	2.3	37.5	135.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +8.3%

GSW +27.0%

GSW +0.6%

GSW +9.6%

GSW +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	13.1	15.6	101.0	103.9	102.3
season	15.9	14.7		103.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	16.1	12.9	15.6	15.0
GSW	11.2	13.9	13.7	13.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harold Jamison	23	24	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-6	8	17.4	14.3	3.18	14.9	12.6	2.27
Corey Maggette	75	73	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-8	12	15.1	14.7	0.36	13.0	13.6	-0.61
Eric Piatkowski	58	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-9	14	14.5	15.6	-1.17	12.7	13.7	-0.94
Earl Boykins	10	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-1	-2	18.1	14.6	3.47	12.8	13.2	-0.36
Quentin Richardson	30	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	2	-8	15.5	14.7	0.80	14.7	12.5	2.25
Michael Olowokandi	90	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-4	4	14.8	16.6	-1.83	13.0	14.3	-1.36
Jeff McInnis	92	92	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	14.6	18.1	-3.47	13.2	12.8	0.36
Elton Brand	90	90	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	14.5	18.4	-3.91	13.0	14.2	-1.25
Darius Miles	42	45	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.31	-13	9	-22	15.2	14.8	0.37	12.6	13.6	-0.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	93	93	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.57	0	4	-4	13.3	11.2	2.14	15.1	14.1	0.94
Jason Richardson	85	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-3	10	12.5	16.2	-3.67	14.3	18.0	-3.68
Troy Murphy	37	35	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	-3	10	12.7	13.4	-0.63	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Erick Dampier	58	58	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	2	0	13.2	13.0	0.16	15.5	14.2	1.31
Gilbert Arenas	79	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	2	0	13.2	12.8	0.45	14.9	15.2	-0.36
Danny Fortson	51	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	0	4	13.4	12.9	0.43	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Dean Oliver	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	13.6	12.9	0.67	16.2	14.5	1.69
Dean Garrett	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	5	-6	14.8	12.5	2.31	16.4	14.4	2.02
Adonal Foyle	54	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	5	-6	12.5	13.9	-1.38	14.2	15.9	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.6,0.68,0.88,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	91.1%
CHI 85, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.85,1	90.2%
PHI 91, UTA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.67,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.59,1	90.0%