NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	8.7 [180]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +39.4%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	3.5 [517]		LVP	Nik Stauskas (PHI): -45.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0.38	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.38	0.08	0.30	-0.00	9	86%	0.45	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.00	0.03	11	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
TJ McConnell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	9	42%	-0.05	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,0,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	21	47%	-0.07	6	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.46	-0.14	-0.32	-0.00	6	0%	-0.39	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.39	0.39	-0.01	0.36	-0.05	21	45%	0.46	1	-0.07	11	91%	0.05
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Withey	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.04
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	15	44%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.17	-0.02	15	37%	-0.20	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	32.2	14.8	30.1	2.4	40.2	148.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.2%

UTA +15.6%

UTA +25.8%

PHI -9.8%

PHI -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	14.9	93.8	97.9	105.1
season	14.8	16.3		97.7	104.6
opponent	15.0	14.2		102.8	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	13.5	13.1	14.6	14.1
UTA	14.2	14.7	16.2	17.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	50	51	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.08	11	-15	26	13.2	15.0	-1.74	16.3	14.9	1.36
TJ McConnell	22	24	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-12	20	13.0	14.4	-1.40	17.6	14.9	2.68
Nerlens Noel	59	62	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-8	12	14.2	13.9	0.35	16.0	14.9	1.09
Kendall Marshall	9	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	3	-10	14.6	14.0	0.52	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Carl Landry	18	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	5	-14	16.3	13.6	2.70	13.3	16.1	-2.75
Robert Covington	53	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.64	16	-20	36	13.0	15.4	-2.43	16.6	14.3	2.35
Hollis Thompson	65	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	5	-14	14.3	13.6	0.68	15.7	15.4	0.35
Richaun Holmes	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	5	-14	14.2	14.0	0.27	15.7	15.5	0.19
Jerami Grant	21	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	4	-12	14.0	14.1	-0.11	15.0	15.8	-0.73
Ish Smith	66	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	14.4	13.5	0.93	15.0	16.8	-1.84
JaKarr Sampson	43	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.53	2	-6	8	14.2	14.0	0.23	14.7	16.2	-1.52
Isaiah Canaan	36	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	10	-24	14.9	13.6	1.24	14.5	16.3	-1.81

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	74	75	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-5	14	15.5	16.0	-0.57	14.4	12.9	1.52
Elijah Millsap	36	34	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-9	22	15.0	16.0	-0.92	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Trey Lyles	45	44	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-13	30	16.3	15.0	1.23	15.0	13.3	1.68
Trevor Booker	54	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.52	-7	11	-18	15.5	15.8	-0.29	13.6	14.7	-1.04
Rodney Hood	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.29	-1	5	-6	16.0	15.1	0.97	14.3	13.8	0.52
Raul Neto	51	52	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	0	4	14.5	16.9	-2.44	14.4	13.8	0.61
Trey Burke	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	8	-12	16.8	14.4	2.38	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Joe Ingles	42	41	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	9	-14	16.2	15.1	1.07	12.5	15.2	-2.68
Jeff Withey	48	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	1	2	14.7	16.5	-1.74	14.7	13.4	1.32
Chris Johnson	33	32	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.09	-9	13	-22	15.7	15.6	0.13	13.7	14.3	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.67,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.74,1	90.7%
HOU 91, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.41,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1	90.2%
LAC 103, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.41,0.6,0.68,0.88,0.85,0.58,1	90.0%