NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	6.8 [452]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +34.1%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	2.6 [662]		LVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): -21.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Terence Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	15	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	19	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	19	56%	0.03	6	-0.14	16	62%	-0.05
Kenny Thomas	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	7	50%	-0.08	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04
Moochie Norris	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.03	-0.11	0.08	5	60%	-0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.18	0.01	19	73%	0.36	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	6	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	15	47%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.03	-0.01	20	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	28.2	16.0	29.2	2.3	32.5	132.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +44.0%

HOU -17.6%

HOU -1.8%

DAL +23.8%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.6	103.4	105.6	102.3
season	16.8	14.8		100.9	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.1	18.4	14.7	15.6	16.4
DAL	15.0	17.6	18.0	13.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	53	55	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.22	12	-16	28	16.4	16.3	0.12	16.7	14.9	1.74
Terence Morris	11	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	1	-6	21.1	15.7	5.38	16.7	15.9	0.79
Kevin Willis	14	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	3	-10	19.0	15.9	3.11	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Eddie Griffin	79	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-6	8	15.6	23.6	-7.99	16.1	15.2	0.91
Cuttino Mobley	83	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-3	2	16.3	17.6	-1.29	15.9	17.0	-1.07
Moochie Norris	37	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	5	-14	16.4	16.4	0.03	16.1	15.9	0.27
Steve Francis	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	-2	0	15.9	19.4	-3.51	15.6	18.1	-2.45
Kenny Thomas	87	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	6	-16	16.6	1.0	15.56	15.7	25.0	-9.33

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	84	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-6	16	16.0	15.2	0.87	16.4	16.5	-0.12
Shawn Bradley	55	55	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-9	22	15.7	16.5	-0.83	17.7	14.2	3.48
Juwan Howard	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-6	16	16.9	12.4	4.42	16.6	15.4	1.16
Steve Nash	67	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.50	1	3	-2	16.5	14.5	2.01	15.4	19.2	-3.83
Adrian Griffin	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	3	-2	15.7	16.3	-0.62	16.5	16.2	0.34
Michael Finley	63	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	2	0	15.0	18.3	-3.31	15.8	17.7	-1.90
Wang Zhi-zhi	20	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	5	-6	19.7	14.9	4.79	15.0	16.8	-1.88
Tim Hardaway	36	32	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	13	-22	13.7	17.5	-3.85	17.4	15.8	1.60
Danny Manning	5	4	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.06	-7	11	-18	16.0	16.0	0.02	17.5	16.3	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.41,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	92.0%
MIN 114, LAL 121	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.98,1	91.5%
DET 86, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.46,0.62,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.6,0.54,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	91.1%