NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Excitement	8.5 [156]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +16.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	2.3 [675]		LVP	Elden Campbell (LAL): -16.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	6	64%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Sam Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.04
Stanley Roberts	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.02	22	65%	0.13	6	-0.21	10	70%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	16	50%	-0.06	3	-0.07	8	75%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.13	-0.00	12	69%	0.22	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	-0.00	0.03	19	70%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	89%	0.05	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.03
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	16	54%	0.03	4	-0.11	9	67%	-0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	18	51%	-0.08	2	-0.06	15	53%	-0.10
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	2	25%	-0.06	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	32.5	16.3	29.6	2.4	39.5	151.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.8%

LAL +0.9%

LAL +31.0%

MIN -7.7%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	15.6	116.3	123.5	102.5
season	14.8	14.8		105.3	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	17.2	13.7	16.2	15.3
LAL	13.1	14.8	15.1	13.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Roberts	24	26	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.12	15	-22	37	14.0	15.8	-1.83	16.6	13.1	3.47
Doug West	45	45	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-13	19	15.4	15.3	0.03	15.0	13.2	1.75
Tom Gugliotta	30	30	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.09	-1	-6	5	17.1	14.6	2.54	15.9	13.2	2.74
Reggie Jordan	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	18.8	14.7	4.15	15.1	13.8	1.31
Tom Hammonds	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-2	-3	16.1	15.2	0.85	15.4	13.8	1.56
Kevin Garnett	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.6	19.5	-4.96	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Sam Mitchell	74	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	0	-7	15.3	15.4	-0.11	13.1	16.8	-3.71
Stephon Marbury	90	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	15.0	19.6	-4.67	14.2	12.1	2.03
Terry Porter	54	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	4	-15	15.1	15.6	-0.42	13.2	15.0	-1.75
Cherokee Parks	61	59	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.17	-17	10	-27	15.7	14.7	1.02	12.6	16.2	-3.57

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	59	61	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.18	24	-17	41	13.2	15.3	-2.08	17.2	12.2	5.01
Corie Blount	45	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-7	21	12.4	15.4	-2.93	16.1	14.7	1.35
Rick Fox	86	86	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-1	9	13.9	14.7	-0.72	14.5	21.0	-6.45
Eddie Jones	87	87	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-1	9	14.1	13.5	0.65	15.3	15.4	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	6	-5	13.7	15.5	-1.81	15.4	15.0	0.41
Sean Rooks	2	3	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	5	-3	16.0	14.0	2.01	6.7	15.6	-8.94
Elden Campbell	38	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.00	-5	12	-17	15.4	13.2	2.23	16.2	14.8	1.40
Jon Barry	30	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.06	-5	12	-17	15.3	13.5	1.88	14.7	15.6	-0.87
Derek Fisher	62	62	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.11	-12	19	-31	14.9	12.6	2.29	14.1	17.4	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 82, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.66,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.92,1	91.8%
HOU 91, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.41,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1	91.5%
WAS 80, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.53,0.68,0.85,0.95,0.98,1	91.5%