NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	7.9 [273]		MVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): +34.8%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	3.2 [427]		LVP	Malachi Flynn (TOR): -28.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	10	71%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	68%	0.16	5	-0.10	8	87%	-0.02
Rodney Hood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	37%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.11	-0.06	0.02	17	64%	0.10	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Freddie Gillespie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	18	39%	-0.03	5	-0.23	5	100%	0.03
Malachi Flynn	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	9	30%	-0.13	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.35	0.35	0.14	0.20	-0.00	12	70%	0.35	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	19	53%	0.17	5	-0.18	11	100%	0.08
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	36%	0.06	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	8	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	30.6	15.4	38.4	1.6	41.2	157.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +5.9%

NYK +14.9%

NYK +7.8%

NYK +20.1%

NYK +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	14.4	98.0	102.0	111.3
season	14.2	15.2		111.0	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.6		107.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.6	14.4	13.5	14.4	14.0
NYK	15.9	13.9	17.1	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	23	21	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.15	1	-7	8	14.4	13.8	0.61	16.7	14.7	2.03
Yuta Watanabe	31	33	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.12	-1	-5	4	15.5	13.3	2.17	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Khem Birch	37	37	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.17	-3	-3	0	14.2	13.8	0.44	15.3	15.0	0.34
DeAndre' Bembry	43	42	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-4	2	13.8	14.1	-0.24	17.0	13.7	3.34
Freddie Gillespie	20	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	2	-10	14.4	13.9	0.54	12.4	15.7	-3.32
Malachi Flynn	54	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	14.1	13.7	0.40	14.6	15.7	-1.07
Kyle Lowry	78	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-7	8	13.3	16.6	-3.31	15.2	14.7	0.51
Chris Boucher	60	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.49	-4	-2	-2	13.7	14.3	-0.61	15.2	14.9	0.30
Pascal Siakam	72	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	-2	-2	14.0	13.9	0.06	14.9	15.6	-0.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	68	67	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.41	11	-5	16	15.4	14.4	1.03	13.8	14.3	-0.47
Reggie Bullock	58	58	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-5	16	14.5	16.0	-1.49	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Nerlens Noel	58	55	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.49	7	-1	8	15.6	14.4	1.17	14.1	13.8	0.24
Julius Randle	80	79	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-5	16	14.8	16.5	-1.74	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Alec Burks	56	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	6	-6	14.8	15.5	-0.78	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Elfrid Payton	35	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	1	4	15.1	15.1	0.01	14.3	13.8	0.45
Frank Ntilikina	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	4.0	15.2	-11.22	1.0	14.1	-13.10
Immanuel Quickley	37	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	6	-6	14.6	15.4	-0.86	13.6	14.2	-0.56
Kevin Knox II	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	9	-12	18.7	14.8	3.91	15.2	13.9	1.39
Taj Gibson	40	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.19	-3	9	-12	15.0	15.2	-0.18	14.7	13.5	1.19
Derrick Rose	47	46	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.14	-7	13	-20	16.0	14.4	1.60	14.2	13.8	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.54,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 81, OKC 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	92.1%
HOU 91, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.41,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,1,1	91.9%
BKN 104, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.91,1	91.7%