NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	81		Excitement	7.4 [347]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (OKC): +13.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	84		Comeback	1.5 [706]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -26.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	16	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Dontell Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Emeka Okafor	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	21	41%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	12	38%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.21	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	16	32%	-0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.12	-0.00	13	36%	-0.12	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	12	76%	0.22	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	82%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	24	39%	0.02	4	-0.20	3	33%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.24,-0.21,-0.25,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.06	9	-0.24	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	33.2	15.6	28.2	2.5	36.2	142.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +65.4%

CHA -6.0%

OKC +10.6%

CHA -20.1%

OKC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	OKC	NBA	CHA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.5	85.3	86.6	106.4
season	16.5	14.9		103.0	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	14.8	14.0	15.3	14.5
OKC	13.7	15.2	16.0	17.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dontell Jefferson	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-8	13	11.8	14.9	-3.07	14.2	15.7	-1.55
Nazr Mohammed	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-2	1	11.7	14.9	-3.14	12.9	15.9	-2.97
Cartier Martin	3	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	1	-5	23.0	14.2	8.78	24.0	15.2	8.78
DeSagana Diop	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	2	-7	16.9	14.1	2.85	14.2	15.7	-1.55
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	7	-17	14.9	14.2	0.67	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Gerald Wallace	88	91	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-8	13	13.9	21.7	-7.79	15.3	18.2	-2.85
Emeka Okafor	69	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-6	9	14.5	14.5	-0.06	16.2	13.5	2.67
D.J. Augustin	68	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-7	11	14.7	14.1	0.59	15.9	14.5	1.35
Raymond Felton	80	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	2	-7	14.5	14.2	0.35	15.2	17.0	-1.78
Boris Diaw	92	94	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	5	-13	14.6	11.0	3.61	15.4	17.3	-1.90

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	86	85	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.39	9	-6	15	15.4	16.3	-0.88	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Nenad Krstic	58	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	2	-1	15.3	15.7	-0.42	13.8	15.5	-1.64
Russell Westbrook	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	2	-1	15.0	17.1	-2.10	13.7	17.4	-3.74
Kevin Durant	91	89	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	2	-1	15.2	20.7	-5.51	14.3	17.0	-2.67
Shaun Livingston	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	12	-21	16.8	14.3	2.57	14.8	14.2	0.54
Thabo Sefolosha	29	27	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-4	11	14.0	16.1	-2.08	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Kyle Weaver	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	-4	11	15.8	15.2	0.61	16.2	13.1	3.13
Malik Rose	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	1	1	15.7	15.4	0.31	15.7	14.0	1.69
DJ White	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	17.0	14.9	2.17	15.4	14.1	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, ATL 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.92,1	93.6%
ORL 94, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.76,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.92,1	93.0%
SAS 87, OKC 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.92,1	92.9%