NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	117		Excitement	10.0 [87]		MVP	Aaron Wiggins (OKC): +20.2%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	4.8 [221]		LVP	Oshae Brissett (IND): -13.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	6	92%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jalen Williams	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	64%	0.13	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Ousmane Dieng	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.04,0,0	0.16	-0.11	0.04	22	64%	0.09	3	-0.09	17	100%	0.15
Jaylin Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	10	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.13	0.02	-0.15	0.01	19	50%	-0.08	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	4	81%	0.13	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	15	70%	0.31	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	8	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.04
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	16	53%	0.16	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	12	52%	0.10	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	39%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.03	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	29%	-0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	35.2	14.6	29.7	2.4	44.5	152.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.5%

OKC -27.2%

IND +31.2%

OKC -18.4%

IND +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	IND	NBA	OKC	IND	NBA
this game	12.6	14.7	14.4	110.4	115.2	113.4
season	13.7	13.7		113.5	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		116.4	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	12.9	10.8	13.7	12.6
IND	15.1	14.9	16.5	12.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ousmane Dieng	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	13.6	12.4	1.20	15.9	14.5	1.41
Luguentz Dort	84	81	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-10	16	11.9	15.1	-3.20	14.6	15.1	-0.54
Jaylin Williams	34	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	12.4	12.7	-0.24	15.9	14.2	1.71
Aaron Wiggins	58	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	13.6	11.4	2.17	14.7	14.7	0.04
Aleksej Pokusevski	21	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	1	-6	13.9	12.3	1.56	15.4	14.5	0.85
Josh Giddey	77	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-9	14	12.4	13.2	-0.88	13.8	17.1	-3.32
Isaiah Joe	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-5	6	12.2	13.0	-0.72	14.8	14.6	0.29
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	87	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-7	10	12.1	15.1	-3.05	14.7	14.7	-0.06
Lindy Waters III	38	36	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	6	-16	13.1	12.3	0.82	14.2	15.0	-0.73
Jalen Williams	66	66	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.56	-14	10	-24	12.7	12.4	0.29	14.6	14.9	-0.39

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	65	64	0.99	-0.49	1.49	0.52	16	-12	28	14.5	15.0	-0.56	12.8	12.2	0.61
Jalen Smith	67	67	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.49	6	-2	8	14.0	15.9	-1.91	12.6	12.5	0.10
Oshae Brissett	35	35	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-13	30	15.7	14.2	1.56	14.8	11.5	3.28
Andrew Nembhard	70	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.31	2	2	0	14.3	15.5	-1.26	12.2	13.3	-1.06
Buddy Hield	52	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	-7	18	14.9	14.5	0.36	13.0	12.2	0.76
Aaron Nesmith	53	57	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	10	-16	14.5	14.9	-0.39	12.5	12.7	-0.17
Bennedict Mathurin	78	79	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	13	-22	14.7	14.6	0.10	12.1	14.0	-1.92
Isaiah Jackson	38	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.10	-2	6	-8	15.9	14.0	1.91	12.5	12.6	-0.10
Jordan Nwora	67	68	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.09	-15	19	-34	14.8	14.6	0.24	12.0	13.8	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.61,0.53,0.72,0.85,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.9,1	92.2%
MEM 93, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.89,0.84,0.84,1	92.1%
WAS 99, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.48,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.55,0.85,0.91,1	91.6%