NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	117		Excitement	4.9 [915]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +17.2%
Denver Nuggets	96		Comeback	2.0 [182]		LVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): -17.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.20	0.04	0.07	18	76%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.02	0.04	9	95%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.02	17	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Ayo Dosunmu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	16	45%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	46%	0.05	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.08
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	8	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.09	5	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	46%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	15	34%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.07	0.04	16	50%	-0.05	5	-0.13	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	25.4	14.8	26.2	2.5	27.4	121.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.8%

CHI +18.6%

DEN -4.2%

CHI +4.0%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DEN	NBA	CHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	14.4	121.9	98.0	113.4
season	14.1	14.7		112.0	116.6
opponent	14.5	14.9		112.3	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.7	14.2	13.4	15.4	15.1
DEN	13.6	16.4	13.8	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	4	13	14.9	15.7	-0.76	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Patrick Williams	60	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.24	23	-2	25	15.3	14.7	0.58	14.8	14.2	0.66
Coby White	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.22	22	-1	23	15.7	14.4	1.30	14.2	15.0	-0.71
Zach LaVine	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	6	9	15.0	15.5	-0.53	14.7	14.2	0.56
DeMar DeRozan	75	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	7	7	15.5	13.6	1.91	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Patrick Beverley	49	51	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	15	-9	14.1	16.1	-2.03	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Ayo Dosunmu	38	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	16	-11	15.3	15.0	0.25	15.0	14.3	0.75
Alex Caruso	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	23	-25	14.7	15.3	-0.58	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Andre Drummond	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	18	-15	16.2	14.8	1.44	15.4	14.3	1.07
Dalen Terry	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.7	15.2	-2.47	13.6	14.6	-1.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.7	15.2	-2.47	13.6	14.6	-1.03

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack White	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	13.2	14.7	-1.45	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Christian Braun	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	13.2	14.7	-1.45	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Ish Smith	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-21	21	13.2	14.7	-1.45	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Thomas Bryant	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-14	7	15.4	14.3	1.04	15.8	14.9	0.90
Michael Porter Jr.	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-19	17	14.3	14.9	-0.63	14.6	15.7	-1.07
Aaron Gordon	59	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-17	13	14.2	15.2	-1.08	14.9	15.5	-0.63
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-14	7	14.4	14.9	-0.43	15.1	15.2	-0.16
Jeff Green	31	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.20	-17	-4	-13	15.7	14.0	1.70	15.7	14.9	0.85
Jamal Murray	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-7	-7	14.8	14.1	0.66	15.3	14.6	0.73
Reggie Jackson	49	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.15	-16	-5	-11	15.2	13.9	1.29	15.3	15.0	0.32
Nikola Jokic	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-7	-7	14.3	15.4	-1.04	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Bruce Brown	47	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	3	-27	14.6	14.5	0.07	15.4	14.9	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.21,0.08,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	94.3%
LAC 102, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
UTA 113, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%