NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	129		Excitement	7.3 [457]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +29.7%
LA Clippers	135		Comeback	33.6 [120]		LVP	Xavier Tillman (MEM): -9.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.22	0.07	0.01	14	83%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.2	0.15	0.06	-0.00	7	107%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.18	-0.02	0.04	22	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.00	18	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ziaire Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	14	42%	-0.03	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.09,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.18	0.03	20	64%	0.38	3	-0.09	13	100%	0.08
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.18	0.25	-0.03	0.04	23	69%	0.33	3	-0.15	15	93%	0.06
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.01	-0.00	7	106%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	8	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.06	-0.02	9	47%	0.14	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.02
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	28.6	14.4	28.4	3.4	37.2	141.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -0.0%

LAC +30.6%

LAC +48.7%

MEM -29.2%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.4	126.5	129.8	113.4
season	13.9	14.6		113.4	113.7
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.5	15.0	11.7	15.9	14.0
LAC	15.8	11.2	16.0	12.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	40	40	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.24	-6	0	-6	15.6	13.0	2.64	14.9	13.3	1.64
David Roddy	52	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-6	6	13.6	14.5	-0.90	15.1	12.7	2.38
Ziaire Williams	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-3	0	14.0	14.0	-0.02	11.1	14.4	-3.23
Santi Aldama	41	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.23	-13	7	-20	15.2	13.2	1.97	12.9	14.7	-1.75
Luke Kennard	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-4	2	14.3	13.5	0.81	13.5	14.7	-1.22
Tyus Jones	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.46	3	-9	12	13.4	16.1	-2.73	14.5	12.4	2.08
Xavier Tillman	74	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-10	14	13.4	15.6	-2.24	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Jaren Jackson Jr.	74	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	13.8	14.6	-0.81	14.5	12.6	1.93
Desmond Bane	77	79	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.51	-8	2	-10	14.1	13.8	0.24	13.3	15.9	-2.55

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	73	70	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.24	20	-14	34	13.1	16.0	-2.98	14.4	13.2	1.12
Marcus Morris Sr.	54	54	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.46	12	-6	18	13.4	14.5	-1.07	14.9	13.1	1.77
Russell Westbrook	73	73	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-3	12	14.1	13.6	0.52	14.2	13.5	0.75
Paul George	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.37	2	4	-2	14.0	13.7	0.31	13.9	14.5	-0.61
Kawhi Leonard	81	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	8	-10	14.5	12.1	2.33	13.6	15.6	-2.00
Terance Mann	41	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.15	3	3	0	13.5	14.2	-0.71	14.6	13.7	0.92
Mason Plumlee	46	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.23	3	3	0	14.3	13.6	0.73	13.8	14.2	-0.43
Nicolas Batum	38	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.07	-3	9	-12	14.2	13.8	0.34	13.3	14.4	-1.15
Ivica Zubac	38	38	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	20	-34	14.6	13.6	1.00	13.4	14.4	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.18,0.28,0.44,0.64,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.62,0.63,0.87,0.96,1	90.0%
MIA 110, ATL 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.48,0.57,0.73,1	89.9%
DET 103, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.47,0.77,0.89,0.73,1	89.5%