NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	125		Excitement	8.3 [282]		MVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): +62.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	129		Comeback	1.0 [941]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -19.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.63	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.49,0.63	0.26	0.37	-0.00	26	66%	0.63	0	0.00	9	100%	0.20
AJ Griffin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	8	72%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.13
John Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	53%	0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Clint Capela	-0.00	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trent Forrest	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	14	31%	-0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.58	0.58	0.31	0.28	0.01	21	71%	0.58	0	0.00	17	100%	0.13
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.45	0.45	0.18	0.27	0.00	12	87%	0.47	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	17	61%	0.20	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	7	80%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	25.4	14.4	28.5	2.4	42.2	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +101.5%

ATL -22.3%

ATL -35.4%

ATL -1.1%

POR +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	14.5	14.4	133.0	137.2	113.4
season	13.8	14.7		115.1	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.4		117.3	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	16.2	16.0	16.0	16.2
POR	15.5	13.8	13.5	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	20	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-4	4	13.8	16.8	-2.95	15.5	14.2	1.37
Aaron Holiday	26	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-2	0	19.9	14.7	5.13	14.3	14.5	-0.19
AJ Griffin	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-2	0	14.4	17.8	-3.31	14.6	14.3	0.32
Onyeka Okongwu	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-1	-2	14.1	17.7	-3.52	14.7	14.3	0.42
Clint Capela	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-2	0	17.9	13.9	4.07	14.5	14.4	0.11
Bogdan Bogdanovic	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-2	0	14.8	19.4	-4.64	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Dejounte Murray	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	16.8	13.8	2.95	14.2	15.5	-1.37
De'Andre Hunter	73	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	16.4	15.4	0.95	14.2	15.5	-1.36
John Collins	82	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	3	-10	16.3	15.2	1.15	14.6	13.8	0.72

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	74	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	14.8	13.3	1.48	16.3	15.8	0.53
Drew Eubanks	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	0	4	15.0	14.0	0.91	14.6	17.5	-2.88
Gary Payton II	30	31	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	-2	8	13.7	14.8	-1.13	12.3	18.1	-5.79
Shaedon Sharpe	51	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	-1	6	13.9	15.1	-1.24	14.5	18.1	-3.63
Nassir Little	29	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	0	4	14.1	14.6	-0.53	12.6	17.8	-5.18
Jusuf Nurkic	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	-1	6	14.0	15.0	-0.91	17.8	14.4	3.44
Jerami Grant	66	66	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	7	-10	14.4	14.5	-0.10	17.5	12.9	4.62
Josh Hart	66	65	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	9	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.10	17.8	12.6	5.18
Anfernee Simons	60	62	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	6	-8	15.2	13.2	1.98	17.7	13.3	4.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.73,1	93.7%
NYK 79, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.97,0.85,0.84,0.73,1	93.5%
GSW 108, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.58,1	93.4%