NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	8.4 [184]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (BKN): +31.1%
Brooklyn Nets	110		Comeback	1.5 [413]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -24.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.15	0.01	16	72%	0.38	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Andre Iguodala	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	8	75%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	74%	0.12	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	58%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Andrew Bogut	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.16	0.06	-0.20	0.02	10	80%	0.11	3	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	5	25%	-0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	17	21%	-0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.31	0.31	0.01	0.31	0.00	7	64%	0.36	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.13	-0.02	9	70%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.02	0.01	10	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	19	55%	0.14	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	7	39%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Markel Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.16	0.00	22	53%	0.12	3	-0.26	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	28.2	14.8	27.1	2.5	35.2	132.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +43.5%

BKN +2.5%

GSW -12.8%

BKN +6.1%

BKN +10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BKN	NBA	GSW	BKN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	15.1	112.5	115.8	104.2
season	13.6	15.3		109.2	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.8	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.3	15.2	14.0	11.8	14.3
BKN	15.7	14.2	14.8	19.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	22	22	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-7	12	13.9	14.4	-0.56	14.5	16.3	-1.73
Justin Holiday	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-6	10	13.4	14.5	-1.10	14.4	16.3	-1.86
Festus Ezeli	36	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-6	10	12.7	15.2	-2.51	14.2	16.8	-2.64
Harrison Barnes	52	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	4	-10	15.2	13.2	2.01	15.4	16.4	-0.95
Marreese Speights	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	3	-8	15.8	14.1	1.76	16.7	15.8	0.91
Shaun Livingston	54	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-2	2	14.6	13.9	0.65	14.4	17.6	-3.20
Stephen Curry	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-3	4	13.5	15.4	-1.91	16.7	14.5	2.23
Andrew Bogut	46	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	0	-2	15.5	13.2	2.36	16.8	14.9	1.94
Andre Iguodala	63	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.62	5	-7	12	12.9	16.9	-3.94	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Draymond Green	57	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	5	-12	14.8	13.6	1.23	16.9	14.3	2.63
Klay Thompson	59	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.34	-9	7	-16	15.1	13.0	2.06	16.8	14.3	2.51

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-5	12	16.4	14.6	1.79	15.0	12.5	2.53
Deron Williams	65	65	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-3	8	16.5	14.5	1.96	15.0	12.8	2.24
Brook Lopez	51	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-5	12	15.1	16.8	-1.76	14.3	14.3	0.06
Alan Anderson	56	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	-2	6	15.4	16.5	-1.08	15.4	12.8	2.60
Jarrett Jack	56	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	6	-10	15.5	16.4	-0.91	13.3	15.8	-2.52
Markel Brown	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-5	12	16.0	15.8	0.21	14.7	13.9	0.80
Thaddeus Young	50	52	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	8	-14	15.9	15.9	0.01	13.0	15.8	-2.82
Mason Plumlee	44	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	7	-12	16.8	15.1	1.76	14.3	14.3	-0.06
Bojan Bogdanovic	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.15	-5	7	-12	15.0	16.5	-1.50	12.9	15.2	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.78,0.58,1	93.1%
LAC 91, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.9,0.58,1	93.1%
NJN 89, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.73,1	92.9%