NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	8.0 [249]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +39.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	113		Comeback	1.2 [1092]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -25.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.29,0.39	0.11	0.28	0.00	6	78%	0.39	0	0.00	6	100%	0.12
Stephen Curry	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.3,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.01	23	63%	0.27	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Reggie Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	10	73%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	16	43%	0.03	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Monta Ellis	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.18	-0.08	-0.01	21	35%	-0.13	5	-0.12	7	71%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.39	0.39	0.12	0.29	0.01	16	71%	0.51	4	-0.11	10	90%	0.05
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.11	-0.02	9	42%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	17	55%	0.10	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	10	33%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	33.2	16.4	32.1	2.5	42.6	155.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +15.4%

LAC +2.3%

LAC +29.8%

GSW -0.3%

LAC +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.5	113.5	117.7	105.7
season	14.8	15.4		106.6	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.3	14.8	18.5	14.0	15.6
LAC	12.0	13.4	14.3	18.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	0	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	0.0	15.6	-15.57	1.0	14.6	-13.57
Charlie Bell	0	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-1	-2	0.0	15.6	-15.57	6.0	14.6	-8.61
Ekpe Udoh	14	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	2	-8	14.1	15.8	-1.67	12.9	14.7	-1.74
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-8	12	16.1	14.9	1.16	15.7	12.9	2.81
Stephen Curry	82	81	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.45	9	-13	22	15.3	17.0	-1.67	14.6	13.3	1.30
Reggie Williams	38	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-3	2	15.4	15.7	-0.21	15.2	14.0	1.17
David Lee	81	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-8	12	15.7	14.7	1.07	14.7	12.8	1.93
Dorell Wright	85	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-1	-2	15.2	18.3	-3.05	13.8	20.8	-7.01
Monta Ellis	82	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	15.7	14.6	1.17	14.9	11.8	3.09
Andris Biedrins	45	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	14	-32	16.0	15.2	0.80	13.1	15.7	-2.67

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	82	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.31	7	-3	10	14.2	15.6	-1.42	15.8	14.2	1.64
Eric Bledsoe	48	47	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-8	20	16.6	12.3	4.31	15.8	15.4	0.42
Eric Gordon	61	60	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-3	10	13.0	17.0	-4.00	15.0	16.4	-1.39
Ryan Gomes	75	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.37	-1	5	-6	14.3	14.9	-0.61	15.1	17.0	-1.85
Ike Diogu	27	28	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-4	12	15.3	14.1	1.21	14.6	16.0	-1.31
Randy Foye	37	39	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	4	-4	16.1	13.4	2.78	15.6	15.5	0.11
Baron Davis	54	55	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.36	-9	13	-22	13.9	15.0	-1.10	16.1	14.9	1.21
DeAndre Jordan	58	55	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	1	2	13.6	15.7	-2.12	16.3	14.6	1.77
Al-Farouq Aminu	38	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	11	-18	14.4	14.4	0.03	15.3	15.8	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.73,0.83,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.73,1	93.1%
GSW 108, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.58,1	93.1%
NYK 79, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.97,0.85,0.84,0.73,1	93.1%