NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	9.5 [130]		MVP	James Harden (PHI): +59.5%
Utah Jazz	117		Comeback	1.7 [749]		LVP	Malik Beasley (UTA): -13.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.59	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.59	0.19	0.41	0.00	19	72%	0.66	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Joel Embiid	0.43	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.43	0.14	0.29	0.00	18	61%	0.52	2	-0.09	13	77%	-0.02
Shake Milton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.01	12	71%	0.14	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	20	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Matisse Thybulle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.19	0.03	7	100%	0.33	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.27	0.27	0.19	0.07	-0.00	29	62%	0.27	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.04
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.13	3	-0.10	10	80%	-0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	14	32%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.3	15.5	27.5	2.3	34.8	135.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +44.3%

PHI +9.8%

UTA -18.3%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.4	119.2	118.2	113.4
season	15.2	14.3		115.9	114.4
opponent	14.1	14.5		115.5	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	16.4	14.6	15.9	15.2
UTA	15.0	12.4	13.6	14.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Maxey	79	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-5	11	15.4	14.2	1.19	13.9	13.9	0.04
Shake Milton	57	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.42	3	-2	5	15.6	14.6	0.97	13.6	14.5	-0.86
Matisse Thybulle	41	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	0	1	16.4	14.3	2.07	13.8	14.0	-0.15
De'Anthony Melton	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	0	1	14.6	16.3	-1.68	13.8	14.2	-0.46
Joel Embiid	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	-1	3	14.5	17.0	-2.49	13.8	14.2	-0.41
Montrezl Harrell	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	2	-3	17.0	14.5	2.49	14.2	13.8	0.41
James Harden	78	78	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	3	-5	14.9	16.2	-1.38	14.2	13.1	1.07
Georges Niang	26	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	0	1	15.7	15.0	0.73	13.6	14.0	-0.40
P.J. Tucker	49	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	7	-13	14.2	16.1	-1.88	14.4	13.5	0.93

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ochai Agbaji	42	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	2	-5	13.8	14.1	-0.31	15.6	14.9	0.70
Simone Fontecchio	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	5	-11	14.0	13.9	0.07	15.0	15.2	-0.18
Talen Horton-Tucker	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.48	11	-12	23	12.9	15.4	-2.49	15.5	14.7	0.84
Jarred Vanderbilt	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	4	-9	14.3	13.6	0.73	15.8	14.5	1.32
Walker Kessler	67	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	4	-9	14.2	13.4	0.79	14.2	17.3	-3.13
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	59	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.63	14	-15	29	13.3	14.9	-1.57	16.2	13.7	2.51
Mike Conley	60	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.25	-1	0	-1	14.6	12.9	1.63	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Jordan Clarkson	75	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	1	-3	14.1	13.4	0.69	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Malik Beasley	67	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.46	-8	7	-15	14.2	13.4	0.79	15.0	15.5	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.28,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.37,0.16,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 100, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.42,0	91.2%
PHX 97, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.23,0.4,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.15,0	90.3%
LAL 107, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0	90.1%