NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	100		Excitement	8.8 [160]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +63.4%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	3.6 [302]		LVP	Steve Francis (NYK): -7.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.63	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.63	0.05	0.57	-0.02	22	55%	0.66	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.10	0.02	13	85%	0.30	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.02	8	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.26,0.2,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	22	55%	0.16	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	7	86%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.57	0.57	0.30	0.31	0.04	22	78%	0.62	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.21
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	1	90%	0.14	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.06	0.01	15	40%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.01	9	54%	0.06	5	-0.11	10	50%	-0.09
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.05
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	0.03	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	28.3	15.6	24.2	2.8	40.5	136.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +67.1%

NYK -19.1%

NYK -10.6%

SEA +8.9%

SEA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.4	112.4	110.0	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		105.5	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.6	15.0	17.2	18.5	16.3
NYK	18.1	14.3	16.3	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	82	83	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-5	11	16.2	17.0	-0.79	15.7	18.3	-2.57
Earl Watson	73	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-5	11	16.7	14.5	2.16	15.9	16.2	-0.35
Ray Allen	82	82	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.49	-2	3	-5	16.5	13.4	3.08	15.9	15.9	0.04
Johan Petro	53	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	-1	3	15.5	17.4	-1.83	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Nick Collison	68	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.50	-8	9	-17	17.5	12.2	5.34	15.8	16.2	-0.31
Chris Wilcox	38	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	-4	9	17.1	15.7	1.37	17.7	14.5	3.26
Damien Wilkins	24	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	0	1	15.5	16.6	-1.11	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Andre Brown	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	-1	3	9.1	17.0	-7.85	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Mickael Gelabale	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	3	-5	2.0	16.4	-14.43	0.0	15.9	-15.91
Mike Wilks	16	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	6	-11	14.5	16.7	-2.16	16.2	15.9	0.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	68	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-11	21	16.0	15.8	0.18	16.9	14.7	2.19
Malik Rose	38	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.52	14	-15	29	15.5	16.2	-0.67	18.1	15.0	3.14
Eddy Curry	72	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.29	6	-7	13	16.1	15.3	0.79	16.5	15.4	1.03
Mardy Collins	12	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	7	-15	14.4	16.1	-1.72	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Renaldo Balkman	18	19	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	4	-9	14.6	16.2	-1.69	13.4	17.0	-3.62
Channing Frye	36	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	13	-27	16.8	15.3	1.44	15.5	16.8	-1.34
Stephon Marbury	87	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.48	2	-3	5	15.9	15.3	0.60	16.3	15.0	1.31
Steve Francis	56	56	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	3	-7	15.3	16.9	-1.61	15.8	17.1	-1.31
Jared Jeffries	63	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	5	-11	16.6	14.3	2.31	16.3	16.2	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 85, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.23,0.42,0	92.3%
MEM 82, HOU 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.18,0.07,0.11,0.32,0.27,0	92.3%
WAS 105, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.04,0.14,0.16,0	92.1%