NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	8.7 [213]		MVP	Ty Jerome (GSW): +17.8%
Golden State Warriors	112		Comeback	6.1 [154]		LVP	Mike Conley (UTA): -25.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	14	67%	0.29	3	-0.14	5	60%	-0.05
Collin Sexton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02	0.13	-0.13	0.03	22	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Malik Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	12	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	7	45%	-0.10	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.09
Mike Conley	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	11	23%	-0.14	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	14	59%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.08	0.03	11	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	9	39%	-0.05	2	-0.07	5	60%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	22	46%	0.06	6	-0.22	12	83%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	29.4	15.3	28.5	2.4	35.6	138.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.0%

GSW +14.4%

UTA -2.5%

UTA -5.2%

UTA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.1	13.6	14.4	103.9	106.7	113.4
season	14.3	13.9		114.4	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.1		112.6	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.5	14.1	14.6	15.6	14.1
GSW	13.7	13.1	14.2	13.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	37	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-4	3	14.1	14.2	-0.07	11.9	14.5	-2.64
Rudy Gay	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	13.4	14.5	-1.02	12.8	14.0	-1.12
Walker Kessler	45	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	14.4	13.9	0.45	12.2	14.6	-2.43
Malik Beasley	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	4	-13	14.1	14.1	0.02	11.9	15.2	-3.23
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	20	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	4	-13	14.7	14.0	0.71	15.0	13.2	1.73
Kelly Olynyk	53	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-8	11	14.0	14.3	-0.30	14.7	12.3	2.35
Mike Conley	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.3	13.7	0.62	14.1	12.6	1.51
Jarred Vanderbilt	57	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-5	5	14.1	14.2	-0.16	15.0	11.7	3.30
Jordan Clarkson	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	14.2	14.0	0.22	13.5	13.7	-0.12
Lauri Markkanen	76	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-7	9	14.1	14.3	-0.28	13.9	12.6	1.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	67	63	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-2	9	12.8	15.0	-2.20	14.7	13.2	1.43
Donte DiVincenzo	83	82	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	14.1	11.7	2.33	14.3	13.5	0.82
Draymond Green	65	63	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	-1	7	14.1	12.7	1.33	13.6	15.0	-1.39
Anthony Lamb	56	54	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	6	-7	13.5	13.6	-0.08	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Jonathan Kuminga	46	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	4	-3	12.9	14.1	-1.13	14.5	13.8	0.71
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	-8	21	13.7	13.5	0.18	15.3	13.7	1.64
Kevon Looney	54	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	5	-5	14.8	12.3	2.56	14.6	13.6	0.94
Jordan Poole	76	77	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	6	-7	14.4	11.4	2.93	13.7	15.5	-1.79
James Wiseman	19	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	7	-9	10.5	14.2	-3.72	13.3	14.3	-1.03
Moses Moody	32	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	8	-11	11.6	14.4	-2.84	12.8	14.7	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.26,0.35,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.67,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
CLE 74, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.69,0.72,1	92.5%
IND 65, DET 69	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.66,0.96,1	91.9%