NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	118		Excitement	7.5 [428]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): +31.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	124		Comeback	4.7 [506]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -6.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31	0.17	0.14	-0.00	11	77%	0.32	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.01	7	60%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	12	56%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Edwards	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.00	20	59%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	15	73%	0.20	5	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02
Wendell Moore Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.03	9	64%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.06	-0.00	22	70%	0.33	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.00	22	61%	0.33	5	-0.13	15	100%	0.08
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.03	13	59%	0.18	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	-0.00	8	69%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	30.2	14.4	31.7	2.4	36.4	142.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.7%

POR +5.1%

POR +27.3%

MIN -9.0%

MIN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	14.4	119.2	125.3	113.4
season	14.1	14.7		112.4	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.3		117.3	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	12.5	14.4	14.5	14.1
POR	14.3	14.2	13.8	18.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	58	60	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.17	12	-18	30	13.9	14.3	-0.42	15.7	14.0	1.64
Rudy Gobert	74	73	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-13	20	13.9	14.6	-0.71	16.1	12.0	4.10
Wendell Moore Jr.	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-3	0	15.6	14.0	1.61	16.1	14.9	1.21
D'Angelo Russell	82	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-12	18	13.8	15.5	-1.69	15.1	14.6	0.50
Anthony Edwards	83	84	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-6	6	14.2	13.3	0.90	14.8	16.0	-1.15
Jaylen Nowell	35	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	4	-14	13.7	14.3	-0.55	14.0	15.5	-1.51
Austin Rivers	47	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	7	-20	14.0	14.2	-0.22	14.1	15.8	-1.67
Naz Reid	30	30	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	11	-28	14.6	13.8	0.76	12.8	16.0	-3.19
Kyle Anderson	79	82	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.30	-12	6	-18	14.4	12.7	1.66	15.3	13.6	1.66

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	40	39	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-12	30	15.0	15.0	-0.03	15.2	13.4	1.79
Drew Eubanks	39	39	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-10	26	15.1	15.0	0.09	15.5	13.1	2.34
Trendon Watford	24	26	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-5	16	14.5	15.2	-0.74	14.4	13.9	0.48
Josh Hart	71	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	-2	10	14.5	16.4	-1.96	13.8	14.6	-0.84
Damian Lillard	86	85	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	2	2	14.8	16.2	-1.31	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Jerami Grant	81	80	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	8	-10	15.2	14.1	1.18	14.1	13.7	0.41
Anfernee Simons	72	74	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	16	-26	15.2	14.4	0.79	13.7	15.2	-1.46
Jusuf Nurkic	54	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.17	-8	14	-22	15.8	14.1	1.71	13.6	14.7	-1.13
Justise Winslow	28	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	13	-20	14.7	15.1	-0.43	13.2	14.4	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.6,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.72,0.96,0.97,1	92.8%
OKC 106, GSW 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%
GSW 102, TOR 113	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.72,0.96,1,1	92.4%