NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	89		Excitement	7.5 [324]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +18.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	3.0 [623]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -20.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	17	57%	0.15	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Chuck Person	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.07	15	53%	0.13	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	13	36%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Lazaro Borrell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	10%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Horace Grant	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	8	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.2	-0.03	-0.14	0.04	12	47%	-0.20	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.12

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	21	57%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	10	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	11	63%	0.08	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.08	9	56%	-0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	45%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	6	21%	-0.13	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	29.3	15.4	27.8	1.8	32.4	131.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +43.4%

POR +11.2%

POR +4.2%

SEA -11.4%

POR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.2	95.7	100.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.9		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.1	13.6	15.0	15.4	14.8
POR	16.9	16.4	15.0	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lazaro Borrell	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.3	1.87	17.4	15.6	1.80
Rashard Lewis	50	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-5	5	16.2	13.1	3.11	17.6	14.2	3.35
Greg Foster	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-6	7	14.0	15.3	-1.31	14.7	16.9	-2.24
Gary Payton	77	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-8	11	15.4	11.5	3.94	16.5	13.7	2.75
Chuck Person	6	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-8	11	6.3	15.3	-9.01	8.7	16.7	-7.96
Ruben Patterson	20	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	3	-11	12.8	15.3	-2.44	14.8	16.4	-1.56
Vin Baker	68	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-3	1	15.2	13.6	1.65	16.6	14.4	2.28
Horace Grant	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	7	-19	15.3	12.4	2.88	16.7	13.3	3.40
Brent Barry	52	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	13.8	16.0	-2.12	14.7	17.7	-2.97
Vernon Maxwell	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-3	1	13.7	16.4	-2.68	15.3	17.1	-1.71

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	27	27	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	13.7	17.0	-3.21	13.1	15.4	-2.28
Scottie Pippen	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	-1	7	16.3	14.9	1.41	14.9	14.1	0.79
Brian Grant	39	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	4	-3	16.3	15.9	0.38	15.5	14.3	1.20
Bonzi Wells	34	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	6	-7	13.9	17.2	-3.32	13.2	15.7	-2.51
Greg Anthony	37	38	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	9	-13	15.9	16.1	-0.14	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Damon Stoudamire	57	55	0.23	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-4	13	16.1	15.9	0.14	14.9	14.5	0.40
Steven Smith	61	59	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	4	-3	16.9	14.4	2.57	15.3	13.8	1.57
Rasheed Wallace	72	72	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	7	-9	16.7	14.0	2.71	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Stacey Augmon	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	4	-3	14.7	16.3	-1.62	14.2	14.9	-0.67
Jermaine O'Neal	11	11	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	15.4	16.1	-0.76	13.3	15.0	-1.69
Arvydas Sabonis	40	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	2	1	16.8	15.4	1.42	16.6	13.5	3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.72,0.96,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.3%
SAC 95, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	92.2%
MIA 89, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.0%