NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	95		Excitement	6.5 [495]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +7.3%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	3.0 [227]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -11.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.02	20	60%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	30	41%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	13	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	16	57%	0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	13	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	18	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	14	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	26.1	15.6	22.2	1.7	38.3	128.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.8%

IND +4.0%

IND +10.5%

IND +12.5%

IND +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	16.3	15.5	100.0	107.4	100.9
season	14.4	15.9		103.1	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.9	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	18.8	13.3	11.8	14.1
IND	15.0	22.4	16.2	14.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	69	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-11	16	13.7	15.3	-1.54	16.0	17.1	-1.13
Jason Williams	68	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-6	6	12.7	17.9	-5.18	14.9	19.9	-4.98
Doug Christie	80	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-6	6	13.8	16.1	-2.28	16.0	17.9	-1.92
Hedo Turkoglu	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-4	2	16.8	12.9	3.83	19.3	14.9	4.35
Bobby Jackson	28	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	5	-16	17.4	12.8	4.55	18.7	15.3	3.35
Scot Pollard	25	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	2	-10	16.2	13.4	2.73	19.4	15.2	4.26
Peja Stojakovic	86	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	2	-10	13.5	20.4	-6.96	15.7	22.7	-7.00
Chris Webber	89	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.1	14.8	-0.73	15.9	21.7	-5.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	72	70	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-8	22	16.2	16.7	-0.45	14.7	12.5	2.21
Travis Best	71	73	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	0	6	16.4	16.1	0.28	14.5	12.9	1.67
Al Harrington	80	80	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	-2	10	15.9	19.0	-3.12	13.8	16.1	-2.36
Jalen Rose	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	1	4	16.3	16.6	-0.30	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Jermaine O'Neal	54	57	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	12	-18	16.7	15.8	0.90	14.6	13.5	1.08
Reggie Miller	77	78	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	10	-14	15.7	19.1	-3.39	13.3	18.1	-4.76
Jeff Foster	12	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	4	-2	19.3	15.9	3.43	17.4	13.6	3.85
Sam Perkins	35	33	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	1	4	17.4	15.7	1.64	14.2	14.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 103, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
CHI 78, MIA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.2%
LAC 89, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.9%