NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	103		Excitement	5.7 [695]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (DET): +24.8%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	2.8 [733]		LVP	Thomas Robinson (BKN): -12.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	17	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sean Kilpatrick	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Shane Larkin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Sergey Karasev	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.02	0.05	6	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Henry Sims	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.10	0.01	9	81%	0.25	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.11	-0.01	6	67%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.04	0.06	13	68%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	14	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.02	14	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	27.6	16.6	23.2	2.4	36.3	131.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +14.5%

DET +15.6%

DET +7.7%

DET +13.3%

BKN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	16.3	14.9	110.8	126.4	105.1
season	15.0	15.0		101.9	104.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		105.0	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.7	14.7	16.3	14.6	15.1
DET	16.6	16.0	17.2	15.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	48	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-14	16	15.9	14.2	1.70	16.7	15.8	0.90
Wayne Ellington	52	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.00	-2	-10	8	15.3	14.7	0.58	16.5	15.9	0.61
Donald Sloan	45	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-8	4	15.5	14.6	0.84	16.9	15.7	1.21
Henry Sims	38	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-3	-6	16.3	14.2	2.09	16.3	16.3	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	64	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-7	2	15.3	14.5	0.78	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Sergey Karasev	29	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	14.5	15.3	-0.78	16.3	16.2	0.12
Willie Reed	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-9	6	14.4	16.0	-1.59	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Shane Larkin	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	14.6	15.5	-0.84	15.7	16.9	-1.21
Sean Kilpatrick	42	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	14.5	15.5	-1.05	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Thomas Robinson	45	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	2	-16	14.2	15.9	-1.70	15.8	16.7	-0.90

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	45	48	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.07	26	-14	40	15.4	17.1	-1.66	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Stanley Johnson	60	63	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.11	22	-10	32	16.4	16.0	0.40	14.3	16.6	-2.28
Anthony Tolliver	33	33	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-4	20	15.4	16.8	-1.36	15.0	15.1	-0.13
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-5	22	16.0	17.3	-1.27	15.3	14.1	1.17
Aron Baynes	37	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	3	6	16.0	16.4	-0.40	14.7	15.3	-0.54
Andre Drummond	54	56	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	9	-6	16.4	16.0	0.40	15.3	14.7	0.54
Reggie Bullock	17	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	17	-22	17.3	16.0	1.27	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Tobias Harris	43	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	16	-20	16.9	15.7	1.13	15.2	14.9	0.24
Marcus Morris	46	45	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	22	-32	16.2	16.4	-0.23	16.0	14.1	1.88
Reggie Jackson	46	45	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.08	-14	26	-40	17.1	15.4	1.66	15.8	14.3	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.3%
ATL 91, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.3%
SAC 103, NOH 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%