inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 91 Excitement5.9 [642] MVPBrendan Haywood (DAL): +13.6%
Dallas Mavericks 102 Comeback1.8 [773] LVPZaza Pachulia (ATL): -10.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Powell0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.002100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.001065%0.143-0.086100%0.04
Jeff Teague0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00460%0.0200.00250%-0.03
Jason Collins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maurice Evans-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01133%-0.0000.00450%-0.01
Joe Johnson-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.060.012455%0.032-0.041100%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.01-0.081242%0.124-0.142100%0.01
Mike Bibby-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.020.02948%-0.011-0.03367%-0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.050.00442%-0.032-0.07475%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.060.080.00277%0.161-0.02967%-0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.04-0.00960%0.1000.002100%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.001176%0.215-0.14367%-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.05-0.001050%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.020.02867%0.091-0.032100%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.030.011162%0.102-0.06786%0.02
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.03-0.031242%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01550%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.729.218.325.51.731.0131.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +34.0%
DAL +11.5%
DAL +2.5%
DAL +2.2%
ATL -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDALNBAATLDALNBA
this game16.616.015.5103.4114.6105.7
season16.515.7104.0108.5
opponent15.715.5103.8105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.017.216.416.816.6
DAL14.714.717.916.716.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Collins17160.09-0.590.67-0.003-141715.516.9-1.3914.616.2-1.62
Al Horford7373-0.10-0.400.30-0.131-121316.715.90.7916.314.41.93
Joe Johnson7677-0.12-0.380.27-0.182-131516.219.2-3.0816.313.72.65
Damien Wilkins1817-0.17-0.330.160.04-7-4-317.516.41.1416.115.90.13
Mike Bibby3942-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-6116.516.7-0.1416.515.50.94
Jeff Teague2626-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-5-6115.816.9-1.1115.816.0-0.21
Josh Smith4344-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-6117.116.10.9815.116.8-1.66
Josh Powell1213-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-4-315.216.8-1.5518.215.62.66
Maurice Evans3939-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.05-8-3-517.116.20.8716.115.80.31
Jamal Crawford6868-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.23-8-3-516.417.1-0.7215.716.7-0.99
Zaza Pachulia2930-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-165-2117.816.01.7914.816.5-1.69

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry58590.63-0.130.770.1118-72515.217.5-2.3017.315.22.12
Dirk Nowitzki62600.56-0.060.620.1215-41916.414.91.4816.916.00.87
Brendan Haywood36370.52-0.020.530.2883514.017.3-3.2818.015.62.43
Shawn Marion54540.51-0.010.520.191101115.316.9-1.6317.016.01.01
Jose Juan Barea30300.290.210.070.26110-914.916.5-1.6417.216.30.87
Jason Kidd64630.120.38-0.26-0.0356-116.614.22.4416.018.1-2.08
Sasha Pavlovic37360.010.49-0.480.04-112-1315.616.2-0.6616.416.7-0.29
Tyson Chandler5351-0.020.52-0.53-0.1138-517.314.03.2815.618.0-2.43
DeShawn Stevenson5150-0.120.62-0.740.03-516-2117.114.52.5915.518.0-2.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 83, HOU 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,194.1%
SAC 103, NOH 1150.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.9%
LAC 105, HOU 1100.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.87,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,193.6%